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La Virgen del Camino v Mirandés II
La Virgen del CaminoMirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said La Virgen del Camino win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: La Virgen del Camino 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–29–29
- 1′KICK-OFF La Virgen del Camino v Mirandés II
- 14′La Virgen del Camino are down to ten from 13′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 40–32–28
- 14′🟥 RED CARD · 13' La Virgen del Camino
- 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was La Virgen del Camino win 37%)
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' La Virgen del Camino win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 45′HALF-TIME La Virgen del Camino 0–0 Mirandés II
- 46′SECOND HALF La Virgen del Camino 0–0 Mirandés II
- 50′We said La Virgen del Camino at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–47–22
- 52′We said La Virgen del Camino at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–49–22
- 63′We said La Virgen del Camino at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–18
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' La Virgen del Camino win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 71′We said La Virgen del Camino at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
- 77′We said La Virgen del Camino at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–11
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' La Virgen del Camino win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 82′We said La Virgen del Camino at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–7
- 89′We said La Virgen del Camino at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' La Virgen del Camino win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- FTFULL TIME La Virgen del Camino 0–0 Mirandés II
- FTLa Virgen del Camino 0–0 Mirandés II · La Virgen del Camino win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
La Virgen del Camino are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: La Virgen del Camino 42%, draw 29%, Mirandés II 29%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
La Virgen del Camino win42%Mirandés II win29%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:15
RoundGroup 8 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
La Virgen del CaminoMINMirandés IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
La Virgen del Camino
Mirandés II
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 7 | −1 | 12 |
| 18 | Mirandés II | 7 | −7 | 2 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make La Virgen del Camino a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 43%, 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Virgen del Camino win | 42% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| Mirandés II win | 29% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 42% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | – | – |
| La Virgen del Camino or draw | 71% | – | – |
| La Virgen del Camino clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Mirandés II clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 this season · since 12 Sept
LA VIRGEN DEL CAMINO
MIRANDÉS II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cristo Atlético | 7 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 |  Cultural Leonesa II | 7 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  Burgos Promesas | 7 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 |  Bembibre | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  UD Santa Marta | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Palencia CF | 7 | +6 | 13 |
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 7 | −1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Atlético Mansillés | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Almazán | 7 | −1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Guijuelo | 6 | +5 | 9 |
| 11 |  Arandina | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Calasanz de Soria | 7 | −5 | 7 |
| 13 |  Villaralbo | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Turégano | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Unionistas II | 7 | −5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Colegios Diocesanos | 7 | −8 | 4 |
| 17 |  Salamanca II | 7 | −11 | 4 |
| 18 | Mirandés II | 7 | −7 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.