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La Virgen del Camino v Atlético Mansillés
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · SAT 10 OCT
Corrected on 12 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 0–0; the score is now 1–0 and the grades above follow it.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said La Virgen del Camino win at 39%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: La Virgen del Camino was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–33–29
- 2′KICK-OFF La Virgen del Camino v Atlético Mansillés
- 45′HALF-TIME La Virgen del Camino 0–0 Atlético Mansillés
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' La Virgen del Camino win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was La Virgen del Camino win 29%)
- 46′SECOND HALF La Virgen del Camino 0–0 Atlético Mansillés
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' La Virgen del Camino win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was La Virgen del Camino win 29%)
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' La Virgen del Camino win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was La Virgen del Camino win 29%)
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' La Virgen del Camino win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was La Virgen del Camino win 29%)
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' La Virgen del Camino win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was La Virgen del Camino win 29%)
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' La Virgen del Camino win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was La Virgen del Camino win 29%)
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' La Virgen del Camino win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was La Virgen del Camino win 29%)
- FTFULL TIME La Virgen del Camino 0–0 Atlético Mansillés
- FTLa Virgen del Camino 1–0 Atlético Mansillés · La Virgen del Camino win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 15:30
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make La Virgen del Camino a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Virgen del Camino win | 39% | – | – |
| Draw | 32% | – | – |
| Atlético Mansillés win | 29% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 35% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | – | – |
| La Virgen del Camino or draw | 71% | – | – |
| La Virgen del Camino clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
| Atlético Mansillés clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
LA VIRGEN DEL CAMINO
ATLÉTICO MANSILLÉS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos Promesas | 5 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | UD Santa Marta | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Atlético Mansillés | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bembibre | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cristo Atlético | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cultural Leonesa II | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Arandina | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Almazán | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 5 | −2 | 7 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 5 | +2 | 5 |
| 13 | Salamanca II | 5 | −5 | 4 |
| 14 | Guijuelo | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 15 | Turégano | 5 | −4 | 2 |
| 16 | Unionistas II | 5 | −5 | 2 |
| 17 | Mirandés II | 5 | −5 | 1 |
| 18 | Colegios Diocesanos | 5 | −9 | 1 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Burgos Promesas
UD Santa Marta
Bembibre
Cristo Atlético
Cultural Leonesa II
Arandina
Almazán
Palencia CF
Calasanz de Soria
Villaralbo
Salamanca II
Guijuelo
Turégano
Unionistas II
Mirandés II
Colegios Diocesanos