Guijuelo v La Virgen del Camino

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Guijuelo win at 58%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Guijuelo was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–25–17
3. 1′KICK-OFF Guijuelo v La Virgen del Camino
4. 24′A goal for Guijuelo on 23′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 83–13–4
5. 24′We published Guijuelo at 58%. Our model now makes it 83%. 1–0 · 83–13–4
6. 24′⚽ GOAL · 23' Guijuelo 1–0 La Virgen del Camino
7. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Guijuelo win: 58% at kick-off, 83% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 83–13–3
9. 45′We published Guijuelo at 58%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
10. 45′HALF-TIME Guijuelo 1–0 La Virgen del Camino
11. 46′SECOND HALF Guijuelo 1–0 La Virgen del Camino
12. 47′La Virgen del Camino score on 47′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 42–43–15
13. 47′We said Guijuelo at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 1–1 · 42–43–15
14. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Guijuelo 1–1 La Virgen del Camino
15. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Guijuelo win: 58% at kick-off, 42% now
16. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Guijuelo win 40%)
17. 52′We said Guijuelo at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–46–15
18. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Guijuelo win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
19. 61′We said Guijuelo at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–54–13
20. 66′A goal for Guijuelo on 66′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
21. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Guijuelo 3–1 La Virgen del Camino
22. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Guijuelo win: 58% at kick-off, 99% now
23. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Guijuelo win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
24. 67′We published Guijuelo at 58%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
25. 67′4 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 99–1–0
26. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Guijuelo win: 58% at kick-off, 99% now
27. 68′Guijuelo score on 67′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
28. 68′We published Guijuelo at 58%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
29. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Guijuelo 4–1 La Virgen del Camino
30. 69′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
31. 83′Guijuelo find the net on 83′. 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
32. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Guijuelo 5–1 La Virgen del Camino
33. 84′6 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 5–1 · 100–0–0
34. FTFULL TIME Guijuelo 5–1 La Virgen del Camino
35. FTGuijuelo 5–1 La Virgen del Camino · Guijuelo win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.