Real Aranjuez v Fuenlabrada

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Fuenlabrada win at 44%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Fuenlabrada 44% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 33–23–43
3. 1′KICK-OFF Real Aranjuez v Fuenlabrada
4. 45′HALF-TIME Real Aranjuez 0–0 Fuenlabrada
5. 46′SECOND HALF Real Aranjuez 0–0 Fuenlabrada
6. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Fuenlabrada win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
7. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Fuenlabrada win 36%)
8. 55′We said Fuenlabrada at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 26–42–32
9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.1 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 26–42–32
10. 61′We said Fuenlabrada at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 24–46–29
11. 70′We said Fuenlabrada at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 20–56–24
12. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Fuenlabrada win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
13. 76′We said Fuenlabrada at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 16–65–19
14. 81′We said Fuenlabrada at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 11–75–14
15. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Fuenlabrada win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
16. 85′We said Fuenlabrada at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 8–83–9
17. 91′Fuenlabrada are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 4–92–4
18. 91′🟥 RED CARD · 90+1' Fuenlabrada
19. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Fuenlabrada win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
20. 92′We said Fuenlabrada at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
21. FTFULL TIME Real Aranjuez 0–0 Fuenlabrada
22. FTReal Aranjuez 0–0 Fuenlabrada · Fuenlabrada win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.