Las Rozas v Alcobendas Sport

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Las Rozas win at 56%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Las Rozas 56% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–22–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Las Rozas v Alcobendas Sport
4. 29′A goal for Las Rozas on 29′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–15–6
5. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Las Rozas 1–0 Alcobendas Sport
6. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Las Rozas win: 56% at kick-off, 78% now
7. 30′We said Las Rozas at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–15–6
8. 31′Las Rozas score on 31′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
9. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Las Rozas 2–0 Alcobendas Sport
10. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Las Rozas win: 56% at kick-off, 94% now
11. 32′We said Las Rozas at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
12. 40′We said Las Rozas at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
13. 43′A goal for Las Rozas on 43′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 95–4–1
14. 43′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 95–4–1
15. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Las Rozas 3–1 Alcobendas Sport
16. 44′GOAL DISALLOWED · 44' Las Rozas
17. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Las Rozas win: 56% at kick-off, 79% now
18. 45′HALF-TIME Las Rozas 2–1 Alcobendas Sport
19. 46′SECOND HALF Las Rozas 2–1 Alcobendas Sport
20. 51′A goal for Las Rozas on 45′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 96–4–1
21. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Las Rozas 3–1 Alcobendas Sport
22. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Las Rozas win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
23. 60′Alcobendas Sport score on 60′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 82–15–3
24. 60′5 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 82–15–3
25. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Las Rozas 3–2 Alcobendas Sport
26. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Las Rozas win: 56% at kick-off, 82% now
27. 69′We said Las Rozas at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–13–2
28. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Las Rozas win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
29. 85′Alcobendas Sport find the net on 85′. 3–3. 3–3 · 10–84–6
30. 85′We said Las Rozas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 3–3 · 10–84–6
31. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Las Rozas 3–3 Alcobendas Sport
32. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Las Rozas win: 56% at kick-off, 10% now
33. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Las Rozas win 94%)
34. 86′We said Las Rozas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 3–3 · 9–85–5
35. 86′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 9–85–5
36. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Las Rozas win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
37. 92′We said Las Rozas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–3 · 4–94–2
38. 92′A goal for Las Rozas on 90′ — 4–3. 4–3 · 98–2–0
39. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Las Rozas 4–3 Alcobendas Sport
40. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Las Rozas win: 56% at kick-off, 98% now
41. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Las Rozas win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 94%)
42. 93′7 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 4–3 · 98–2–0
43. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Las Rozas win: 56% at kick-off, 98% now
44. FTFULL TIME Las Rozas 4–3 Alcobendas Sport
45. FTLas Rozas 4–3 Alcobendas Sport · Las Rozas win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.