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Cala Pozuelo v SS Reyes II
Cala Pozuelo
SS Reyes IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cala Pozuelo win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Cala Pozuelo was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–24–34
- 1′KICK-OFF Cala Pozuelo v SS Reyes II
- 4′A goal for Cala Pozuelo on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 66–18–15
- 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Cala Pozuelo 1–0 SS Reyes II
- 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Cala Pozuelo win: 42% at kick-off, 66% now
- 5′We published Cala Pozuelo at 42%. Our model now makes it 66%. 1–0 · 66–19–15
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 69–20–11
- 37′We published Cala Pozuelo at 42%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–10
- 45′HALF-TIME Cala Pozuelo 1–0 SS Reyes II
- 46′SECOND HALF Cala Pozuelo 1–0 SS Reyes II
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Cala Pozuelo win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
- 58′We published Cala Pozuelo at 42%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
- 69′We published Cala Pozuelo at 42%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Cala Pozuelo win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
- 78′We published Cala Pozuelo at 42%. Our model now makes it 86%. 1–0 · 86–13–1
- 79′SS Reyes II score on 78′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 15–72–13
- 79′We said Cala Pozuelo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 1–1 · 15–72–13
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Cala Pozuelo 1–1 SS Reyes II
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Cala Pozuelo win: 42% at kick-off, 15% now
- 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Draw is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Cala Pozuelo win 86%)
- 80′We said Cala Pozuelo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–12
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Cala Pozuelo win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 84′We said Cala Pozuelo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
- 91′We said Cala Pozuelo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Cala Pozuelo 1–1 SS Reyes II
- FTCala Pozuelo 1–1 SS Reyes II · Cala Pozuelo win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Cala Pozuelo are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Cala Pozuelo 42%, draw 24%, SS Reyes II 34%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Cala Pozuelo win42%
SS Reyes II win34%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:00
RoundGroup 7 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Cala PozueloMIN
SS Reyes IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Cala Pozuelo
SS Reyes II
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cala Pozuelo a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cala Pozuelo win | 42% | – | – |
| Draw | 24% | – | – |
| SS Reyes II win | 34% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | – | – |
| Cala Pozuelo or draw | 66% | – | – |
| Cala Pozuelo clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| SS Reyes II clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2025/26No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 this season · since 13 Sept
CALA POZUELO
SS REYES II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Rozas | 7 | +7 | 14 |
| 2 | Móstoles | 7 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Colonia Moscardó | 7 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 | Cala Pozuelo | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 | Unión Adarve | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Trival Valderas | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 7 | −1 | 12 |
| 8 | Galapagar | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Torrejón | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 10 | Leganés II | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Fuenlabrada | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | RC Alcobendas | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Alcobendas Sport | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 14 | Real Aranjuez | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 15 | Parla Escuela | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 16 | SS Reyes II | 7 | −7 | 6 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano II | 7 | −7 | 4 |
| 18 | Villanueva Pardillo | 7 | −12 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Las Rozas
Móstoles
Colonia Moscardó
Unión Adarve
Trival Valderas
Pozuelo Alarcón
Galapagar
Torrejón
Leganés II
Fuenlabrada
RC Alcobendas
Alcobendas Sport
Real Aranjuez
Parla Escuela
Rayo Vallecano II
Villanueva Pardillo