Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
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Torrent v Hércules II

Torrent
0–1Full time
Hércules II

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 13:31
Torrent 0–1 Hércules II TORRENT WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Torrent win58%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.050
The market’s Brier score1.042

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Torrent win58%
Draw23%
Hércules II win19%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 11:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · torrent winPublished 9 Oct 11:02
58% The market55%
Us58%
Market55%

We make Torrent a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:209 OCT 09:38
Our probability · torrent win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 52% to 55% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Torrent win58%55%+3
Draw23%26%−3
Hércules II win19%18%0
Over 2.5 goals49%46%+3
Both teams to score47%47%0
Over 1.5 goals74%70%+3
Over 3.5 goals28%26%+2
Torrent or draw81%82%0
Torrent clean sheet42%––
Hércules II clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.4%
0123450 7.6 6.4 2.9 1 12.4 10.7 4.7 2 10.7 9.1 4.0 3 6.5 5.4 2.4 4 3.1 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Torrent down, Hércules II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.25
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsTOR 5–0 HER · HER 1–1 TOR · TOR 1–0 HER · HER 1–0 TOR

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

TORRENT

WWWDLW3–0 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–0

HÉRCULES II

LLDWWW0–3 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Villarreal III5+412
2Vall de Uxó5+611
3Torrent5+410
4Hércules II5+310
5Roda5+28
6Eldense B5+28
7Levante II4+37
8Saguntino507
9Crevillente4+16
10Acero5+16
11Ontinyent 1931506
12SC Torrevieja5−36
13Buñol5−35
14Jove Español5−45
15Soneja5−44
16Atzeneta5−23
17Utiel5−33
18Torrellano5−71

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.