Torrent v Acero prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TorrentDrawAcero

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Torrent 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Torrent are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Torrent 53%, draw 25%, Acero 21%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Torrent v AceroBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Torrent win53%

Draw25%

Acero win21%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Torrent

Acero

16Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
9	Acero	7	+1	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · torrent winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Torrent a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Torrent v Acero~~1.59 – 0.87

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W1 D5 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 8~~5 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Torrent win	53%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Acero win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Torrent or draw	79%	–	–
Torrent clean sheet	43%	–	–
Acero clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.4%

0123450 9.3 7.7 3.5 1 13.4 11.5 5.0 2 10.4 8.7 3.8 3 5.6 4.6 2.0 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Torrent down, Acero across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,567 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.6% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.75 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Torrent at home: 2.17 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Acero away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for Torrent, 0.87 for Acero. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.75

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~TOR 2–1 ACE · ACE 1–0 TOR · ACE 2–0 TOR · TOR 0–1 ACE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 5 Sept

TORRENT

WWDLWL4–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–1

ACERO

DWDDDD1–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	7	+7	18
2	Levante II	8	+11	17
3	Vall de Uxó	7	+7	15
4	Hércules II	7	+2	11
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Crevillente	7	+1	10
7	Eldense B	8	+1	10
8	Roda	7	+1	9
9	Acero	7	+1	8
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
11	Atzeneta	7	0	8
12	Soneja	7	−5	7
13	SC Torrevieja	7	−6	7
14	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
15	Jove Español	7	−6	6
16	Buñol	6	−5	5
17	Torrellano	6	−5	4
18	Utiel	6	−6	3