Torrellano v Saguntino prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TorrellanoDrawSaguntino

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Saguntino 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Saguntino are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Torrellano 32%, draw 28%, Saguntino 41%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Torrellano v SaguntinoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Torrellano win32%

Draw28%

Saguntino win41%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 10:30

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Torrellano

Saguntino

14Days since last match14

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
16	Torrellano	6	−5	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · saguntino winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Saguntino a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Torrellano v Saguntino~~1.10 – 1.29

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 4 v 8~~16 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Torrellano win	32%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Saguntino win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Torrellano or draw	59%	–	–
Torrellano clean sheet	28%	–	–
Saguntino clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 9.6 11.7 7.6 3.3 1 10.0 12.9 8.1 3.5 2 5.6 7.0 4.5 3 2.1 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Torrellano down, Saguntino across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.1% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Torrellano at home: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Saguntino away: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Torrellano, 1.29 for Saguntino. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~SAG 2–1 TOR · TOR 2–0 SAG · TOR 2–1 SAG · SAG 0–0 TOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 6 Sept

TORRELLANO

LLLLDW0–1 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 2–0

SAGUNTINO

WLLDWD2–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	7	+7	18
2	Levante II	7	+9	14
3	Vall de Uxó	6	+6	12
4	Hércules II	6	+3	11
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Eldense B	7	+2	10
7	Crevillente	7	+1	10
8	Roda	6	+2	9
9	Acero	7	+1	8
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
11	SC Torrevieja	7	−6	7
12	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6
14	Atzeneta	6	−1	5
15	Buñol	6	−5	5
16	Torrellano	6	−5	4
17	Soneja	6	−6	4
18	Utiel	6	−6	3