Soneja v Atzeneta prediction · Tercera División RFEF

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Soneja are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Soneja 38%, draw 30%, Atzeneta 31%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Soneja v AtzenetaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Soneja win38%

Draw30%

Atzeneta win31%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 18:30

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Soneja

Atzeneta

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Atzeneta	6	−1	5
17	Soneja	6	−6	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · soneja winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Soneja a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Soneja v Atzeneta~~1.10 – 0.96

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D4 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 5~~17 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Soneja win	38%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Atzeneta win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Soneja or draw	69%	–	–
Soneja clean sheet	39%	–	–
Atzeneta clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.8%

0123450 13.2 12.1 5.9 1 13.8 13.3 6.4 2.1 2 7.6 7.2 3.5 3 2.9 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Soneja down, Atzeneta across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.1% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.17 goals a meeting; 0 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Soneja at home: 1.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Atzeneta away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Soneja, 0.96 for Atzeneta. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.17

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~ATZ 0–1 SON · SON 1–0 ATZ · ATZ 1–1 SON · SON 1–0 ATZ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 13 Sept

SONEJA

DWLLLW2–2 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 3–2

ATZENETA

DDLDDW0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	7	+7	18
2	Levante II	7	+9	14
3	Vall de Uxó	6	+6	12
4	Hércules II	6	+3	11
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Eldense B	7	+2	10
7	Crevillente	7	+1	10
8	Roda	6	+2	9
9	Acero	7	+1	8
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
11	SC Torrevieja	7	−6	7
12	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6
14	Atzeneta	6	−1	5
15	Buñol	6	−5	5
16	Torrellano	6	−5	4
17	Soneja	6	−6	4
18	Utiel	6	−6	3