SC Torrevieja v Saguntino prediction · Tercera División RFEF

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 13:09

SC Torrevieja 2–2 Saguntino SAGUNTINO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Saguntino win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.788

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 5 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Saguntino win at 41%.
1′KICK-OFF SC Torrevieja v Saguntino
3′Much as we predicted: Saguntino was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 31–28–41
12′Much as we predicted: Saguntino was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 30–30–40
14′Much as we predicted: Saguntino was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 30–31–39
45′⚽ GOAL · 38' SC Torrevieja 1–1 Saguntino
45′HALF-TIME SC Torrevieja 1–1 Saguntino
46′SECOND HALF SC Torrevieja 1–1 Saguntino
FTFULL TIME SC Torrevieja 2–2 Saguntino
FTSC Torrevieja 2–2 Saguntino · Saguntino win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

SC Torrevieja win31%

Draw28%

Saguntino win41%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 10:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

SC Torrevieja

Saguntino

8Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Saguntino	5	0	7
12	SC Torrevieja	5	−3	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · saguntino winPublished 11 Oct 10:36

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Saguntino a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SC Torrevieja win	31%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Saguntino win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
SC Torrevieja or draw	59%	–	–
SC Torrevieja clean sheet	28%	–	–
Saguntino clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%

0123450 9.9 12.1 7.8 3.4 1 10.2 12.8 8.1 3.5 2 5.5 6.8 4.3 3 2.0 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SC Torrevieja down, Saguntino across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,556 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

SC Torrevieja at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Saguntino away: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.08 goals for SC Torrevieja, 1.29 for Saguntino. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

SC TORREVIEJA

WLLWL2–1 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 0–2

SAGUNTINO

WWLLDW1–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	6	+6	15
2	Hércules II	6	+4	13
3	Vall de Uxó	5	+6	11
4	Levante II	5	+6	10
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Crevillente	5	+2	9
7	Roda	6	+2	9
8	Eldense B	5	+2	8
9	Acero	6	+1	7
10	Saguntino	5	0	7
11	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
12	SC Torrevieja	5	−3	6
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6
14	Buñol	6	−5	5
15	Atzeneta	6	−2	4
16	Soneja	5	−4	4
17	Utiel	6	−6	3
18	Torrellano	5	−7	1