SC Torrevieja v Ontinyent 1931 prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SC TorreviejaDrawOntinyent 1931

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:30

Before kick-off · Match result · SC Torrevieja 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with SC Torrevieja just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: SC Torrevieja 36%, draw 29%, Ontinyent 1931 35%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on SC Torrevieja v Ontinyent 1931Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

SC Torrevieja win36%

Draw29%

Ontinyent 1931 win35%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 10:30

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SC Torrevieja

Ontinyent 1931

8Days since last match15

Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	SC Torrevieja	7	−6	7
12	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sc torrevieja winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make SC Torrevieja a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · SC Torrevieja v Ontinyent 1931~~1.13 – 1.11

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 7 v 6~~11 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SC Torrevieja win	36%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Ontinyent 1931 win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
SC Torrevieja or draw	65%	–	–
SC Torrevieja clean sheet	33%	–	–
Ontinyent 1931 clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 11.2 11.7 6.6 2.5 1 11.9 13.2 7.2 2.7 2 6.7 7.3 4.1 3 2.6 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SC Torrevieja down, Ontinyent 1931 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.1% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

SC Torrevieja at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Ontinyent 1931 away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for SC Torrevieja, 1.11 for Ontinyent 1931. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 6 Sept

SC TORREVIEJA

LLWLDL0–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 1–4

ONTINYENT 1931

LWLWLL1–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	7	+7	18
2	Levante II	7	+9	14
3	Vall de Uxó	6	+6	12
4	Hércules II	6	+3	11
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Eldense B	7	+2	10
7	Crevillente	7	+1	10
8	Roda	6	+2	9
9	Acero	7	+1	8
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
11	SC Torrevieja	7	−6	7
12	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6
14	Atzeneta	6	−1	5
15	Buñol	6	−5	5
16	Torrellano	6	−5	4
17	Soneja	6	−6	4
18	Utiel	6	−6	3