Saguntino v Jove Español prediction · Tercera División RFEF

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Saguntino are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Saguntino 57%, draw 24%, Jove Español 19%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Saguntino v Jove EspañolBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Saguntino win57%

Draw24%

Jove Español win19%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Saguntino

Jove Español

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · saguntino winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Saguntino a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Saguntino v Jove Español~~1.73 – 0.88

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 6~~10 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Saguntino win	57%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Jove Español win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Saguntino or draw	81%	–	–
Saguntino clean sheet	42%	–	–
Jove Español clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.6%

0123450 7.8 6.6 3.0 1 12.6 11.1 4.9 2 10.7 9.3 4.1 3 6.2 5.4 2.4 4 2.8 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Saguntino down, Jove Español across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,562 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Saguntino at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Jove Español away: 1.00 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Saguntino, 0.88 for Jove Español. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~SAG 2–1 JOV · JOV 0–1 SAG · JOV 3–2 SAG · SAG 1–0 JOV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 5 Sept

SAGUNTINO

WLLDWD2–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 2–2

JOVE ESPAÑOL

LDLDWD0–4 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	7	+7	18
2	Levante II	6	+9	13
3	Vall de Uxó	6	+6	12
4	Hércules II	6	+3	11
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Eldense B	7	+2	10
7	Roda	6	+2	9
8	Crevillente	6	+1	9
9	Acero	7	+1	8
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
11	SC Torrevieja	7	−6	7
12	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6
14	Atzeneta	6	−1	5
15	Buñol	6	−5	5
16	Torrellano	6	−5	4
17	Soneja	6	−6	4
18	Utiel	6	−6	3