Roda v Torrellano prediction · Tercera División RFEF

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Roda are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Roda 47%, draw 28%, Torrellano 25%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Roda v TorrellanoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Roda win47%

Draw28%

Torrellano win25%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Roda

Torrellano

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Roda	6	+2	9
16	Torrellano	6	−5	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · roda winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Roda a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Roda v Torrellano~~1.35 – 0.91

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 9 v 4~~7 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Roda win	47%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Torrellano win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Roda or draw	75%	–	–
Roda clean sheet	41%	–	–
Torrellano clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.0%

0123450 10.9 9.5 4.3 1 14.0 12.6 5.7 2 9.5 8.4 3.8 3 4.3 3.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Roda down, Torrellano across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,562 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Roda at home: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Torrellano away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Roda, 0.91 for Torrellano. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 10

~~Both scored~~1 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TOR 0–2 ROD · ROD 0–0 TOR · ROD 2–0 TOR · TOR 3–2 ROD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 6 Sept

RODA

WLDDWD2–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–1

TORRELLANO

LLLLDW0–1 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	7	+7	18
2	Levante II	6	+9	13
3	Vall de Uxó	6	+6	12
4	Hércules II	6	+3	11
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Eldense B	7	+2	10
7	Roda	6	+2	9
8	Crevillente	6	+1	9
9	Acero	7	+1	8
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
11	SC Torrevieja	7	−6	7
12	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6
14	Atzeneta	6	−1	5
15	Buñol	6	−5	5
16	Torrellano	6	−5	4
17	Soneja	6	−6	4
18	Utiel	6	−6	3