Roda v Eldense B prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RodaDrawEldense B

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Roda 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Roda are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Roda 43%, draw 29%, Eldense B 28%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Roda v Eldense BBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Roda win43%

Draw29%

Eldense B win28%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Roda

Eldense B

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Eldense B	8	+1	10
8	Roda	7	+1	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · roda winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Roda a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Roda v Eldense B~~1.23 – 0.95

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 13 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 9 v 10~~8 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Roda win	43%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Eldense B win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Roda or draw	72%	–	–
Roda clean sheet	39%	–	–
Eldense B clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.8%

0123450 11.8 10.6 5.1 1 13.8 13.0 6.1 2 8.5 7.9 3.7 3 3.6 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Roda down, Eldense B across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,567 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.6% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Roda at home: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Eldense B away: 0.50 scored, 0.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.23 goals for Roda, 0.95 for Eldense B. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 13 Sept

RODA

LDDWDL1–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–2

ELDENSE B

DWLDDL1–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	7	+7	18
2	Levante II	8	+11	17
3	Vall de Uxó	7	+7	15
4	Hércules II	7	+2	11
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Crevillente	7	+1	10
7	Eldense B	8	+1	10
8	Roda	7	+1	9
9	Acero	7	+1	8
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
11	Atzeneta	7	0	8
12	Soneja	7	−5	7
13	SC Torrevieja	7	−6	7
14	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
15	Jove Español	7	−6	6
16	Buñol	6	−5	5
17	Torrellano	6	−5	4
18	Utiel	6	−6	3