Levante II v SC Torrevieja prediction · Tercera División RFEF

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 13:56

Levante II 4–1 SC Torrevieja LEVANTE II WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Levante II win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.247

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Levante II win at 60%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Levante II 60% before kick-off, 59% now. 0–0 · 59–24–17
1′KICK-OFF Levante II v SC Torrevieja
18′Levante II find the net on 18′. 1–0. 1–0 · 83–12–4
18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Levante II 1–0 SC Torrevieja
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Levante II win: 60% at kick-off, 83% now
19′We said Levante II at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–13–4
27′A goal for Levante II on 26′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–1
27′We said Levante II at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–1
27′⚽ GOAL · 26' Levante II 2–0 SC Torrevieja
27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Levante II win: 60% at kick-off, 96% now
45′HALF-TIME Levante II 2–0 SC Torrevieja
46′SECOND HALF Levante II 2–0 SC Torrevieja
48′SC Torrevieja score on 48′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 85–13–3
48′We said Levante II at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–3
48′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 85–13–3
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Levante II 2–1 SC Torrevieja
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Levante II win: 60% at kick-off, 85% now
68′Levante II find the net on 67′. 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
68′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Levante II 3–1 SC Torrevieja
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Levante II win: 60% at kick-off, 99% now
77′A goal for Levante II on 76′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
77′We said Levante II at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
77′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Levante II 4–1 SC Torrevieja
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Levante II win: 60% at kick-off, over 99% now
FTFULL TIME Levante II 4–1 SC Torrevieja
FTLevante II 4–1 SC Torrevieja · Levante II win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Levante II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Levante II 60%, draw 24%, SC Torrevieja 17%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Levante II v SC TorreviejaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Levante II win60%

Draw24%

SC Torrevieja win17%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Levante II

SC Torrevieja

8Days since last match6

Last match: 9 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Levante II	5	+6	10
11	SC Torrevieja	6	−3	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · levante ii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Levante II a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Levante II v SC Torrevieja~~1.72 – 0.76

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D1 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 7~~4 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Levante II win	60%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
SC Torrevieja win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Levante II or draw	83%	–	–
Levante II clean sheet	47%	–	–
SC Torrevieja clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.3%

0123450 8.9 6.5 2.5 1 14.3 10.8 4.1 2 12.1 9.0 3.5 3 7.0 5.2 4 3.1 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Levante II down, SC Torrevieja across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,559 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.4% of games this season, across 53 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Levante II at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). SC Torrevieja away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.72 goals for Levante II, 0.76 for SC Torrevieja. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 5 Sept

LEVANTE II

LDWWW1–2 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 3–0

SC TORREVIEJA

WLLWLD2–1 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	6	+6	15
2	Vall de Uxó	6	+6	12
3	Hércules II	6	+3	11
4	Levante II	5	+6	10
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Crevillente	5	+2	9
7	Roda	6	+2	9
8	Eldense B	6	+2	9
9	Saguntino	6	0	8
10	Acero	6	+1	7
11	SC Torrevieja	6	−3	7
12	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6
14	Atzeneta	6	−1	5
15	Buñol	6	−5	5
16	Torrellano	6	−5	4
17	Soneja	6	−6	4
18	Utiel	6	−6	3