Jove Español v Levante II prediction · Tercera División RFEF

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45

Jove Español 0–2 Levante II LEVANTE II WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Levante II win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.431

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Levante II win at 46%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Levante II 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 26–28–46
1′KICK-OFF Jove Español v Levante II
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Levante II win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Levante II win 39%)
45′HALF-TIME Jove Español 0–0 Levante II
46′SECOND HALF Jove Español 0–0 Levante II
48′We said Levante II at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 21–44–34
52′A goal for Levante II on 52′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 4–17–79
52′We said Levante II at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 0–1 · 4–17–79
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Jove Español 0–1 Levante II
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Levante II win: 46% at kick-off, 79% now
52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Levante II win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 46%)
53′We said Levante II at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 4–17–80
53′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 0–1 · 4–17–80
68′We said Levante II at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Levante II win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
78′We said Levante II at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
85′We said Levante II at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Levante II win: 46% at kick-off, 96% now
95′Levante II score on 90′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
95′We said Levante II at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Jove Español 0–2 Levante II
FTFULL TIME Jove Español 0–2 Levante II
FTJove Español 0–2 Levante II · Levante II win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Levante II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Jove Español 26%, draw 28%, Levante II 46%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Jove Español v Levante IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Jove Español win26%

Draw28%

Levante II win46%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Jove Español

Levante II

14Days since last match4

Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

Last match: 20 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Levante II	7	+9	14
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · levante ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 21 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Levante II a 46% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Jove Español v Levante II~~0.95 – 1.38

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 6 v 14~~13 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Levante II win

Published at 47%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jove Español win	26%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Levante II win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Jove Español or draw	54%	–	–
Jove Español clean sheet	26%	–	–
Levante II clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.3%

0123450 10.2 13.3 9.2 4.3 1 9.2 12.6 8.5 3.9 2 4.5 6.0 4.0 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jove Español down, Levante II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.1% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.62 goals a meeting; 0 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Jove Español at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Levante II away: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for Jove Español, 1.38 for Levante II. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.62

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 8

~~Both scored~~1 of 8

~~Last meetings~~LEV 0–2 JOV · JOV 0–1 LEV · LEV 0–1 JOV · JOV 0–1 LEV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 5 Sept

JOVE ESPAÑOL

LDLDWD0–4 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

LEVANTE II

DWWWWD0–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	7	+7	18
2	Levante II	7	+9	14
3	Vall de Uxó	6	+6	12
4	Hércules II	6	+3	11
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Eldense B	7	+2	10
7	Crevillente	7	+1	10
8	Roda	6	+2	9
9	Acero	7	+1	8
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
11	SC Torrevieja	7	−6	7
12	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6
14	Atzeneta	6	−1	5
15	Buñol	6	−5	5
16	Torrellano	6	−5	4
17	Soneja	6	−6	4
18	Utiel	6	−6	3