Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 › Crevillente v Ontinyent 1931

Crevillente v Ontinyent 1931

Crevillente

3–2Full time

Ontinyent 1931

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 19:03

Crevillente 3–2 Ontinyent 1931 CREVILLENTE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Crevillente win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.559

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Crevillente win at 39%.
3′2′ and it is 1–0: Crevillente have scored. 1–0 · 68–20–12
10′2′ and it is 1–0: Crevillente have scored. 1–0 · 68–20–12
31′Crevillente find the net on 14′. 2–0. 2–0 · 91–7–2
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 91% now
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 91% now
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 91% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 91% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 91% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 91% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 91% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
38′Crevillente find the net on 14′. 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–1
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 91% now
43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Crevillente 2–1 Ontinyent 1931
45′🟥 RED CARD · 48' Crevillente
45′HALF-TIME Crevillente 2–1 Ontinyent 1931
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Crevillente win: 39% at kick-off, 93% now
46′SECOND HALF Crevillente 2–1 Ontinyent 1931
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Crevillente 3–1 Ontinyent 1931
81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Crevillente 3–2 Ontinyent 1931
90′🟥 RED CARD · 95' Crevillente
FTFULL TIME Crevillente 3–2 Ontinyent 1931
FTCrevillente 3–2 Ontinyent 1931 · Crevillente win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Crevillente win39%

Draw28%

Ontinyent 1931 win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · crevillente winPublished 10 Oct 16:37

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Crevillente a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Crevillente win	39%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Ontinyent 1931 win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Crevillente or draw	67%	–	–
Crevillente clean sheet	34%	–	–
Ontinyent 1931 clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 10.4 11.0 5.9 2.2 1 12.2 12.9 7.0 2.6 2 7.4 7.8 4.2 3 3.0 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Crevillente down, Ontinyent 1931 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,553 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.7% of games this season, across 47 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.25 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Crevillente at home: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Ontinyent 1931 away: 1.00 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for Crevillente, 1.08 for Ontinyent 1931. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.25

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ONT 0–2 CRE · CRE 1–2 ONT · CRE 3–0 ONT · ONT 0–1 CRE

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

CREVILLENTE

WWWDDD2–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 2–2

ONTINYENT 1931

LLWLWL0–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	6	+6	15
2	Hércules II	6	+4	13
3	Vall de Uxó	5	+6	11
4	Levante II	5	+6	10
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Roda	5	+2	8
7	Eldense B	5	+2	8
8	Saguntino	5	0	7
9	Crevillente	4	+1	6
10	Acero	5	+1	6
11	Ontinyent 1931	5	0	6
12	SC Torrevieja	5	−3	6
13	Jove Español	5	−4	5
14	Buñol	6	−5	5
15	Soneja	5	−4	4
16	Atzeneta	5	−2	3
17	Utiel	6	−6	3
18	Torrellano	5	−7	1