Buñol v Hércules II prediction · Tercera División RFEF

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Buñol are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Buñol 41%, draw 29%, Hércules II 30%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Buñol v Hércules IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Buñol win41%

Draw29%

Hércules II win30%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Buñol

Hércules II

9Days since last match9

Last match: 9 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Hércules II	6	+3	11
15	Buñol	6	−5	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · buñol winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Buñol a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Buñol v Hércules II~~1.25 – 1.02

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 5 v 11~~15 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Buñol win	41%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Hércules II win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Buñol or draw	70%	–	–
Buñol clean sheet	37%	–	–
Hércules II clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%

0123450 10.8 10.5 5.4 1 12.9 13.0 6.5 2.3 2 8.0 8.0 4.0 3 3.4 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Buñol down, Hércules II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,562 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Buñol at home: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Hércules II away: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.25 goals for Buñol, 1.02 for Hércules II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HER 3–1 BUN · BUN 1–1 HER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 this season · since 5 Sept

BUÑOL

WDDLLL2–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 1–3

HÉRCULES II

LDWWWW1–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Villarreal III	7	+7	18
2	Levante II	6	+9	13
3	Vall de Uxó	6	+6	12
4	Hércules II	6	+3	11
5	Torrent	6	+3	10
6	Eldense B	7	+2	10
7	Roda	6	+2	9
8	Crevillente	6	+1	9
9	Acero	7	+1	8
10	Saguntino	6	0	8
11	SC Torrevieja	7	−6	7
12	Ontinyent 1931	6	−1	6
13	Jove Español	6	−4	6
14	Atzeneta	6	−1	5
15	Buñol	6	−5	5
16	Torrellano	6	−5	4
17	Soneja	6	−6	4
18	Utiel	6	−6	3