Vilassar Mar v Martinenc

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Martinenc win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Martinenc 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 35–28–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Vilassar Mar v Martinenc
4. 22′Vilassar Mar find the net on 22′. 1–0. 1–0 · 65–21–14
5. 22′We said Martinenc at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 65–21–14
6. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Vilassar Mar 1–0 Martinenc
7. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Martinenc win: 37% at kick-off, 14% now
8. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Vilassar Mar win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Martinenc win 14%)
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 66–22–12
10. 43′We said Martinenc at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 69–22–9
11. 45′HALF-TIME Vilassar Mar 1–0 Martinenc
12. 46′SECOND HALF Vilassar Mar 1–0 Martinenc
13. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+6' Martinenc win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
14. 58′A goal for Vilassar Mar on 57′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
15. 58′We said Martinenc at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
16. 58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Vilassar Mar 2–0 Martinenc
17. 78′Vilassar Mar score on 77′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
18. 78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Vilassar Mar 3–0 Martinenc
19. 79′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
20. 84′Martinenc are down to ten from 83′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 3–0 · 100–0–0
21. 84′🟥 RED CARD · 83' Martinenc
22. 90′Vilassar Mar find the net on 90′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
23. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Vilassar Mar 4–0 Martinenc
24. FTFULL TIME Vilassar Mar 4–0 Martinenc
25. FTVilassar Mar 4–0 Martinenc · Martinenc win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.