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Montañesa v L'Escala
MontañesaL'EscalaTercera División RFEF - Group 5 · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Montañesa win at 43%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Montañesa v L'Escala
- 2′Much as we predicted: Montañesa was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–27–30
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Montañesa 1–0 L'Escala
- 41′Montañesa find the net on 40′. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–19–7
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Montañesa win: 43% at kick-off, 74% now
- 42′We published Montañesa at 43%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–19–7
- 43′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 74–19–7
- 45′We published Montañesa at 43%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
- 45′HALF-TIME Montañesa 1–0 L'Escala
- 46′SECOND HALF Montañesa 1–0 L'Escala
- 57′A goal for Montañesa on 56′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 56' Montañesa 2–0 L'Escala
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Montañesa win: 43% at kick-off, 96% now
- 58′We published Montañesa at 43%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
- 65′65′ and it is 3–0: Montañesa have scored. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Montañesa 3–0 L'Escala
- 66′GOAL DISALLOWED · 66' Montañesa
- 82′We published Montañesa at 43%. Our model now makes it 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Montañesa 2–0 L'Escala
- FTMontañesa 2–0 L'Escala · Montañesa win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 18:21 · locked at kick-off
Montañesa win43%L'Escala win30%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 19:00
Match timeline
All events
MontañesaMINL'EscalaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Montañesa
L'Escala
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montañesa | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | L'Escala | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Montañesa a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 42%, 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montañesa win | 43% | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – |
| L'Escala win | 30% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | – | – |
| Montañesa or draw | 70% | – | – |
| Montañesa clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| L'Escala clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2023Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
MONTAÑESA
L'ESCALA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Badalona | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 |  Pobla Mafumet | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Montañesa | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vilanova | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Europa II | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 |  Martinenc | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Atlètic Lleida | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  L'Hospitalet | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Grama | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | L'Escala | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Mollerussa | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  San Cristóbal | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Peralada | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Cornellà | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Tona | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  San Juan Atletico de Montcada | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Cerdanyola del Vallès | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Vilassar Mar | 6 | -10 | 4 |
The competition's standings.