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Model 1.1

Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 › L'Hospitalet v Mollerussa

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L'Hospitalet v Mollerussa

L'Hospitalet
2–1Full time
Mollerussa

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 21:30
L'Hospitalet 2–1 Mollerussa L'HOSPITALET WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said L'Hospitalet win56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.293

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said L'Hospitalet win at 56%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF L'Hospitalet v Mollerussa
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: L'Hospitalet 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–24–20
  4. 3′3′ and it is 1–0: L'Hospitalet have scored. 1–0 · 80–13–7
  5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' L'Hospitalet 1–0 Mollerussa
  6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' L'Hospitalet win: 56% at kick-off, 80% now
  7. 4′We said L'Hospitalet at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–13–7
  8. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' L'Hospitalet 2–0 Mollerussa
  9. 19′L'Hospitalet find the net on 18′. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
  10. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' L'Hospitalet win: 56% at kick-off, 94% now
  11. 20′We said L'Hospitalet at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
  12. 25′We said L'Hospitalet at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  13. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' L'Hospitalet win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
  14. 45′HALF-TIME L'Hospitalet 2–0 Mollerussa
  15. 46′A goal for Mollerussa on 46′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 81–15–4
  16. 46′SECOND HALF L'Hospitalet 2–0 Mollerussa
  17. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' L'Hospitalet 2–1 Mollerussa
  18. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' L'Hospitalet win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
  19. 47′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 81–15–4
  20. 64′We said L'Hospitalet at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  21. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' L'Hospitalet win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
  22. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' L'Hospitalet win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
  23. FTFULL TIME L'Hospitalet 2–1 Mollerussa
  24. FTL'Hospitalet 2–1 Mollerussa · L'Hospitalet win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on L'Hospitalet v MollerussaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 18:21 · locked at kick-off

L'Hospitalet win56%
Draw25%
Mollerussa win20%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 19:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

L'Hospitalet

Mollerussa

3Days since last match3
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
8L'Hospitalet527
11Mollerussa507

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · l'hospitalet winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 14 Oct 18:21 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make L'Hospitalet a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · L'Hospitalet v Mollerussa1.77 – 0.95
Last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5W2 D4 L0 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 7 v 78 v 11

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
L'Hospitalet win56%––
Draw25%––
Mollerussa win20%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals29%––
L'Hospitalet or draw80%––
L'Hospitalet clean sheet39%––
Mollerussa clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%
0123450 7.4 5.7 3.0 1 11.1 11.6 5.2 2 10.3 9.6 4.6 3 6.1 5.7 2.7 4 2.7 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+L'Hospitalet down, Mollerussa across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.53 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsLHO 0–0 MOL · MOL 1–2 LHO · MOL 2–1 LHO · LHO 1–1 MOL

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

L'HOSPITALET

WDWDDD3–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–1

MOLLERUSSA

WWLLDW3–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Badalona6610
2Pobla Mafumet6210
3Montañesa539
4Vilanova529
5Europa II638
6Martinenc518
7Atlètic Lleida6-18
8L'Hospitalet527
9Grama527
10L'Escala517
11Mollerussa507
12San Cristóbal5-37
13Peralada526
14Cornellà516
15Tona6-46
16San Juan Atletico de Montcada5-56
17Cerdanyola del Vallès5-25
18Vilassar Mar6-104

The competition's standings.