Cerdanyola del Vallès v Martinenc

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Martinenc win at 37%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Martinenc was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 37–25–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Cerdanyola del Vallès v Martinenc
4. 6′6′ and it is 0–1: Martinenc have scored. 0–1 · 16–20–64
5. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Cerdanyola del Vallès 0–1 Martinenc
6. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Martinenc win: 37% at kick-off, 64% now
7. 7′We published Martinenc at 37%. Our model now makes it 64%. 0–1 · 16–20–64
8. 16′We published Martinenc at 37%. Our model now makes it 65%. 0–1 · 15–21–65
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 12–21–66
10. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Martinenc win: 37% at kick-off, 67% now
11. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Cerdanyola del Vallès 1–1 Martinenc
12. 38′Cerdanyola del Vallès find the net on 37′. 1–1. 1–1 · 32–35–33
13. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Martinenc win: 37% at kick-off, 33% now
14. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Martinenc win 32%)
15. 45′HALF-TIME Cerdanyola del Vallès 1–1 Martinenc
16. 46′J. Sosa scores for Martinenc on 42′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 9–22–70
17. 46′⚽ GOAL · 5' Cerdanyola del Vallès 1–2 Martinenc · J. Gonzalez
18. 46′SECOND HALF Cerdanyola del Vallès 1–2 Martinenc
19. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Martinenc win: 37% at kick-off, 70% now
20. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Martinenc win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 22%)
21. 47′We published Martinenc at 37%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–2 · 9–22–70
22. 48′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 8–22–70
23. 55′55′ and it is 2–2: Cerdanyola del Vallès have scored. 2–2 · 28–44–28
24. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Cerdanyola del Vallès 2–2 Martinenc
25. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Martinenc win: 37% at kick-off, 28% now
26. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Martinenc win 28%)
27. 57′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 27–45–28
28. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Martinenc win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
29. 62′We said Martinenc at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 2–2 · 25–50–25
30. 64′We said Martinenc at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–52–24
31. 73′We said Martinenc at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 18–63–19
32. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Martinenc win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
33. 79′We said Martinenc at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 13–73–14
34. 84′We said Martinenc at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–83–8
35. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Martinenc win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
36. 90′We said Martinenc at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–91–4
37. FTFULL TIME Cerdanyola del Vallès 2–2 Martinenc
38. FTCerdanyola del Vallès 2–2 Martinenc · Martinenc win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.