Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
Back

Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 › Sodupe v Touring

Spain flag

Sodupe v Touring

Sodupe
1–0Full time
Touring

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:08
Sodupe 1–0 Touring TOURING WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Touring win40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.685

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Touring win at 40%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Touring 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 33–27–40
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Sodupe v Touring
  4. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Touring win 33%)
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Sodupe 0–0 Touring
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Sodupe 0–0 Touring
  7. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Sodupe 1–0 Touring
  8. FTFULL TIME Sodupe 1–0 Touring
  9. FTSodupe 1–0 Touring · Touring win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Sodupe win33%
Draw27%
Touring win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 10:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · touring winPublished 10 Oct 10:08
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Touring a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sodupe win33%––
Draw27%––
Touring win40%––
Over 2.5 goals45%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals24%––
Sodupe or draw60%––
Sodupe clean sheet27%––
Touring clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%
0123450 8.9 10.7 7.2 3.3 1 9.5 12.7 8.1 3.7 2 5.7 7.3 4.7 2.1 3 2.3 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sodupe down, Touring across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

SODUPE

WDDLL2–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 1–5

TOURING

WLDWWD2–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Aurrerá Vitoria5+613
2Derio5+511
3Pasaia KE5+110
4Leioa5+69
5Real Sociedad III5+28
6Touring5+28
7Aretxabaleta5+18
8Deportivo Alavés III5+57
9Lagun Onak5−17
10Durango506
11Erandio506
12San Ignacio5+15
13Eibar III505
14R. Union B5−45
15Sodupe5−55
16Beasain5−34
17Santurtzi5−53
18Amurrio Club5−111

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.