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Santurtzi v R. Union B

Santurtzi
1–0Full time
R. Union B

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32
Santurtzi 1–0 R. Union B SANTURTZI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Santurtzi win46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.438

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 5 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Santurtzi win at 46%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Santurtzi v R. Union B
  3. 3′Much as we predicted: Santurtzi was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–26–28
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Santurtzi 0–0 R. Union B
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Santurtzi 0–0 R. Union B
  6. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Santurtzi 1–0 R. Union B
  7. FTFULL TIME Santurtzi 1–0 R. Union B
  8. FTSanturtzi 1–0 R. Union B · Santurtzi win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Santurtzi win46%
Draw26%
R. Union B win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · santurtzi winPublished 10 Oct 16:17
46% The market–
Us46%

We make Santurtzi a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Santurtzi win46%––
Draw26%––
R. Union B win28%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Santurtzi or draw72%––
Santurtzi clean sheet34%––
R. Union B clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%
0123450 8.0 8.0 4.6 1 10.9 12.2 6.6 2.5 2 8.3 8.9 4.9 3 4.2 4.5 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Santurtzi down, R. Union B across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

SANTURTZI

LLWLLL1–4 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–1

R. UNION B

LWDDL0–2 · 1–0 · 3–3 · 3–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Aurrerá Vitoria5+613
2Derio5+511
3Pasaia KE5+110
4Leioa5+69
5Real Sociedad III5+28
6Touring5+28
7Aretxabaleta5+18
8Deportivo Alavés III5+57
9Lagun Onak5−17
10Durango506
11Erandio506
12San Ignacio5+15
13Eibar III505
14R. Union B5−45
15Sodupe5−55
16Beasain5−34
17Santurtzi5−53
18Amurrio Club5−111

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.