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San Ignacio v Aurrerá Vitoria
San Ignacio
Aurrerá VitoriaTercera División RFEF - Group 4 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said San Ignacio win at 46%.
- 46′Much as we predicted: San Ignacio was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 35–43–22
- 72′San Ignacio score on 64′ to make it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 72′San Ignacio score on 72′ to make it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 11' San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 40' San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 46' San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 64' San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' San Ignacio win: 46% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' San Ignacio win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw 43%)
- 73′We published San Ignacio at 46%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 73′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria
- FTSan Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria · San Ignacio win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
San Ignacio are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: San Ignacio 46%, draw 28%, Aurrerá Vitoria 26%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
San Ignacio win46%
Aurrerá Vitoria win26%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00
RoundGroup 4 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
San IgnacioMIN
Aurrerá VitoriaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
San Ignacio
Aurrerá Vitoria
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make San Ignacio a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Ignacio win | 46% | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – |
| Aurrerá Vitoria win | 26% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | – | – |
| San Ignacio or draw | 74% | – | – |
| San Ignacio clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Aurrerá Vitoria clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 this season · since 12 Sept
SAN IGNACIO
AURRERÁ VITORIA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 | Aretxabaleta | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Leioa | 7 | +10 | 13 |
| 4 | Derio | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | +7 | 11 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Touring | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 7 | −3 | 11 |
| 10 | Beasain | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Durango | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 7 | −4 | 10 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 15 | Erandio | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 16 | Santurtzi | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 7 | −7 | 5 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 7 | −13 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Aretxabaleta
Leioa
Derio
Deportivo Alavés III
Touring
Real Sociedad III
Sodupe
Beasain
Durango
Pasaia KE
Eibar III
Lagun Onak
Erandio
Santurtzi
R. Union B
Amurrio Club