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Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 › San Ignacio v Aurrerá Vitoria

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San Ignacio v Aurrerá Vitoria

San Ignacio
5–0Full time
Aurrerá Vitoria

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45
San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria SAN IGNACIO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said San Ignacio win46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.430

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 7 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said San Ignacio win at 46%.
  2. 46′Much as we predicted: San Ignacio was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 35–43–22
  3. 72′San Ignacio score on 64′ to make it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  4. 72′San Ignacio score on 72′ to make it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  5. 72′⚽ GOAL · 11' San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria
  6. 72′⚽ GOAL · 40' San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria
  7. 72′⚽ GOAL · 46' San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria
  8. 72′⚽ GOAL · 64' San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria
  9. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' San Ignacio win: 46% at kick-off, over 99% now
  10. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' San Ignacio win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw 43%)
  11. 73′We published San Ignacio at 46%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  12. 73′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  13. FTFULL TIME San Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria
  14. FTSan Ignacio 5–0 Aurrerá Vitoria · San Ignacio win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

San Ignacio are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: San Ignacio 46%, draw 28%, Aurrerá Vitoria 26%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on San Ignacio v Aurrerá VitoriaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

San Ignacio win46%
Draw28%
Aurrerá Vitoria win26%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 4 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

San Ignacio

Aurrerá Vitoria

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Aurrerá Vitoria7+416
6San Ignacio7+311

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · san ignacio winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
46% The market–
Us46%

We make San Ignacio a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · San Ignacio v Aurrerá Vitoria1.37 – 0.94
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 this season · since 12 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 11 v 166 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
San Ignacio win46%––
Draw28%––
Aurrerá Vitoria win26%––
Over 2.5 goals41%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
San Ignacio or draw74%––
San Ignacio clean sheet39%––
Aurrerá Vitoria clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.4%
0123450 10.3 9.3 4.4 1 13.4 12.6 5.9 2 9.2 8.5 4.0 3 4.3 3.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+San Ignacio down, Aurrerá Vitoria across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting1.75
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsAUR 0–1 SAN · SAN 3–1 AUR · AUR 0–1 SAN · SAN 0–1 AUR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 this season · since 12 Sept

SAN IGNACIO

DLLWWW1–1 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 1–0

AURRERÁ VITORIA

DWWWLW1–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Aurrerá Vitoria7+416
2Aretxabaleta7+514
3Leioa7+1013
4Derio7+312
5Deportivo Alavés III7+711
6San Ignacio7+311
7Touring7+311
8Real Sociedad III7+111
9Sodupe7−311
10Beasain7+210
11Durango7+110
12Pasaia KE7−410
13Eibar III708
14Lagun Onak7−47
15Erandio7−36
16Santurtzi7−56
17R. Union B7−75
18Amurrio Club7−131

The competition's standings before kick-off.