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Erandio v Touring
Erandio
TouringTercera División RFEF - Group 4 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Touring win at 38%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Touring 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 34–28–38
- 1′KICK-OFF Erandio v Touring
- 2′A goal for Touring on 2′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 14–20–66
- 2′We said Touring at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 0–1 · 14–20–66
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Erandio 0–1 Touring
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Touring win: 38% at kick-off, 66% now
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Touring win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
- 29′We said Touring at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 10–21–70
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 0–1 · 9–21–70
- 45′HALF-TIME Erandio 0–1 Touring
- 46′SECOND HALF Erandio 0–1 Touring
- 52′We said Touring at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Touring win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
- 65′We said Touring at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 74′We said Touring at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–13–85
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Touring win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
- 80′We said Touring at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
- 87′We said Touring at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Touring win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
- FTFULL TIME Erandio 0–1 Touring
- FTErandio 0–1 Touring · Touring win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Touring just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Erandio 34%, draw 28%, Touring 38%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Erandio win34%
Touring win38%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00
RoundGroup 4 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
ErandioMIN
TouringEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Erandio
Touring
Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Touring a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erandio win | 34% | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – |
| Touring win | 38% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | – | – |
| Erandio or draw | 62% | – | – |
| Erandio clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Touring clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 this season · since 12 Sept
ERANDIO
TOURING
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 | Aretxabaleta | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Leioa | 7 | +10 | 13 |
| 4 | Derio | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | +7 | 11 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Touring | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 7 | −3 | 11 |
| 10 | Beasain | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Durango | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 7 | −4 | 10 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 15 | Erandio | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 16 | Santurtzi | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 7 | −7 | 5 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 7 | −13 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Aurrerá Vitoria
Aretxabaleta
Leioa
Derio
Deportivo Alavés III
San Ignacio
Real Sociedad III
Sodupe
Beasain
Durango
Pasaia KE
Eibar III
Lagun Onak
Santurtzi
R. Union B
Amurrio Club