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Model 1.1

Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 › Erandio v Deportivo Alavés III

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Erandio v Deportivo Alavés III

Erandio
0–2Full time
Deportivo Alavés III

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:46
Erandio 0–2 Deportivo Alavés III DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS III WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Deportivo Alavés III win41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.525

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Erandio win33%
Draw26%
Deportivo Alavés III win41%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deportivo alavés iii winPublished 10 Oct 20:35
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Deportivo Alavés III a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Erandio win33%––
Draw26%––
Deportivo Alavés III win41%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals30%––
Erandio or draw59%––
Erandio clean sheet24%––
Deportivo Alavés III clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%
0123450 7.0 9.2 6.8 3.4 1 8.2 12.0 8.4 4.1 2 5.5 7.5 5.3 2.6 3 2.4 3.3 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Erandio down, Deportivo Alavés III across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

ERANDIO

WLLWL2–0 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 1–2

DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS III

LDWLLW1–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 5–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Aurrerá Vitoria5+613
2Derio5+511
3Pasaia KE5+110
4Leioa5+69
5Real Sociedad III5+28
6Touring5+28
7Aretxabaleta5+18
8Deportivo Alavés III5+57
9Lagun Onak5−17
10Durango506
11Erandio506
12San Ignacio5+15
13Eibar III505
14R. Union B5−45
15Sodupe5−55
16Beasain5−34
17Santurtzi5−53
18Amurrio Club5−111

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 19:34 UTC.