Eibar III v Santurtzi

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Eibar III win at 48%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Eibar III was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Eibar III v Santurtzi
4. 24′A goal for Santurtzi on 24′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 19–25–56
5. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Eibar III 0–1 Santurtzi
6. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Eibar III win: 48% at kick-off, 19% now
7. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Santurtzi win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Eibar III win 19%)
8. 25′We said Eibar III at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–25–56
9. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Eibar III win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 17–25–58
11. 39′We said Eibar III at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–60
12. 45′HALF-TIME Eibar III 0–1 Santurtzi
13. 46′J. Castano scores for Santurtzi on 23′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–25–63
14. 46′SECOND HALF Eibar III 0–1 Santurtzi
15. 54′We said Eibar III at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
16. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Eibar III win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
17. 58′Eibar III score on 58′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–48–20
18. 58′We said Eibar III at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–48–20
19. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Eibar III 1–1 Santurtzi
20. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Eibar III win: 48% at kick-off, 32% now
21. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Santurtzi win 20%)
22. 63′We said Eibar III at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–18
23. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Eibar III win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
24. 70′We said Eibar III at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–16
25. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Eibar III win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
26. 78′Eibar III find the net on 78′. 2–1. 2–1 · 89–10–1
27. 78′We published Eibar III at 48%. Our model now makes it 89%. 2–1 · 89–10–1
28. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Eibar III 2–1 Santurtzi
29. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Eibar III win: 48% at kick-off, 89% now
30. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Eibar III win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 10%)
31. 79′We published Eibar III at 48%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
32. 80′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 90–9–1
33. 86′We published Eibar III at 48%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
34. FTFULL TIME Eibar III 2–1 Santurtzi
35. FTEibar III 2–1 Santurtzi · Eibar III win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.