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Beasain v R. Union B
Beasain
R. Union BTercera División RFEF - Group 4 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Beasain win at 68%.
- 46′R. Union B score on 79′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 52–34–14
- 79′We said Beasain at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–1 · 22–71–8
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Beasain win: 68% at kick-off, 22% now
- 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Draw is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Beasain win 52%)
- 81′We said Beasain at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–75–7
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Beasain win: 68% at kick-off, 19% now
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Beasain win: 68% at kick-off, 17% now
- 84′We said Beasain at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–82–5
- 88′We said Beasain at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–3
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Beasain win: 68% at kick-off, 8% now
- 93′We said Beasain at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–95–1
- FTFULL TIME Beasain 1–1 R. Union B
- FTBeasain 1–1 R. Union B · Beasain win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Beasain are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Beasain 68%, draw 19%, R. Union B 14%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Beasain win68%
R. Union B win14%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:30
RoundGroup 4 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
BeasainMIN
R. Union BEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Beasain
R. Union B
Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Beasain a 68% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beasain win | 68% | – | – |
| Draw | 19% | – | – |
| R. Union B win | 14% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | – | – |
| Beasain or draw | 86% | – | – |
| Beasain clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| R. Union B clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 this season · since 12 Sept
BEASAIN
R. UNION B
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 | Aretxabaleta | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Leioa | 7 | +10 | 13 |
| 4 | Derio | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | +7 | 11 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Touring | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 7 | −3 | 11 |
| 10 | Beasain | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Durango | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 7 | −4 | 10 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 15 | Erandio | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 16 | Santurtzi | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 7 | −7 | 5 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 7 | −13 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Aurrerá Vitoria
Aretxabaleta
Leioa
Derio
Deportivo Alavés III
San Ignacio
Touring
Real Sociedad III
Sodupe
Durango
Pasaia KE
Eibar III
Lagun Onak
Erandio
Santurtzi
Amurrio Club