Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 › Amurrio Club v San Ignacio
Back
Amurrio Club v San Ignacio
Amurrio ClubSan IgnacioTercera División RFEF - Group 4 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said San Ignacio win at 43%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: San Ignacio was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 28–29–43
- 1′KICK-OFF Amurrio Club v San Ignacio
- 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was San Ignacio win 35%)
- 42′San Ignacio score on 41′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 5–18–77
- 42′We published San Ignacio at 43%. Our model now makes it 77%. 0–1 · 5–18–77
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Amurrio Club 0–1 San Ignacio
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' San Ignacio win: 43% at kick-off, 77% now
- 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' San Ignacio win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 18%)
- 43′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 5–18–77
- 45′HALF-TIME Amurrio Club 0–1 San Ignacio
- 46′SECOND HALF Amurrio Club 0–1 San Ignacio
- 55′We published San Ignacio at 43%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 4–17–80
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' San Ignacio win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
- 69′We published San Ignacio at 43%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
- 69′A red card for Amurrio Club on 69′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 2–13–85
- 69′🟥 RED CARD · 69' Amurrio Club
- 78′We published San Ignacio at 43%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' San Ignacio win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
- 85′We published San Ignacio at 43%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 94′Red cards for both sides: Amurrio Club down to ten, San Ignacio to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 0–1–99
- 94′🟥 RED CARD · 90+4' San Ignacio
- FTFULL TIME Amurrio Club 0–1 San Ignacio
- FTAmurrio Club 0–1 San Ignacio · San Ignacio win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
San Ignacio are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Amurrio Club 28%, draw 29%, San Ignacio 43%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Amurrio Club win28%San Ignacio win43%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:30
RoundGroup 4 · matchday 7
Match timeline
All events
Amurrio ClubMINSan IgnacioEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Amurrio Club
San Ignacio
Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | San Ignacio | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 6 | −12 | 1 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make San Ignacio a 43% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.3, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amurrio Club win | 28% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| San Ignacio win | 43% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 43% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | – | – |
| Amurrio Club or draw | 57% | – | – |
| Amurrio Club clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| San Ignacio clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 this season · since 5 Sept
AMURRIO CLUB
SAN IGNACIO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aurrerá Vitoria | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 |  Leioa | 7 | +10 | 13 |
| 3 |  Derio | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Touring | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Aretxabaleta | 6 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Real Sociedad III | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Sodupe | 7 | −3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Beasain | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Durango | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Pasaia KE | 7 | −4 | 10 |
| 12 | San Ignacio | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eibar III | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Lagun Onak | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Erandio | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Santurtzi | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 17 |  R. Union B | 6 | −5 | 5 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 6 | −12 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.