Vimenor v Solares prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

VimenorDrawSolares

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Vimenor 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vimenor are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vimenor 61%, draw 23%, Solares 16%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Vimenor v SolaresBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Vimenor win61%

Draw23%

Solares win16%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vimenor

Solares

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Vimenor	7	+3	13
12	Solares	7	−3	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vimenor winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Vimenor a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Vimenor v Solares~~1.90 – 0.85

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 13 v 6~~6 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vimenor win	61%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Solares win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Vimenor or draw	84%	–	–
Vimenor clean sheet	43%	–	–
Solares clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.5%

0123450 7.3 4.8 2.4 1 11.5 11.0 4.4 2 11.5 9.6 4.1 3 7.3 6.1 2.6 4 3.5 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vimenor down, Solares across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,468 Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.6% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vimenor at home: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Solares away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.90 goals for Vimenor, 0.85 for Solares. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~VIM 2–1 SOL · SOL 1–2 VIM · SOL 3–1 VIM · VIM 4–2 SOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 this season · since 13 Sept

VIMENOR

WWDLLW2–1 · 4–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–1

SOLARES

LLWDDD0–2 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tropezón	7	+10	19
2	Laredo	7	+14	18
3	Bezana	7	+6	16
4	Revilla	7	+6	14
5	Cayón	7	+5	14
6	Vimenor	7	+3	13
7	Sámano	7	+8	12
8	Torina	7	+6	11
9	Atlético Mineros	8	−6	10
10	Castro	7	−1	8
11	Selaya	7	−4	7
12	Solares	7	−3	6
13	Atlético Albericia	8	−4	6
14	Guarnizo	7	−5	5
15	Escobedo	7	−8	5
16	Barquereño	7	−8	5
17	Velarde	7	−9	4
18	Naval Reinosa	7	−10	2