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Escobedo v Revilla

Escobedo
2–3Full time
Revilla

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 19:03
Escobedo 2–3 Revilla ESCOBEDO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Escobedo win65%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.177

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Escobedo win at 65%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Escobedo 65% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–19–16
  3. 7′Little has changed for our model: Escobedo 65% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–20–16
  4. 29′A goal for Escobedo on 28′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 84–12–4
  5. 36′31′ and it is 1–1: Revilla have scored. 1–1 · 55–29–17
  6. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Escobedo win: 65% at kick-off, 84% now
  7. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Escobedo win: 65% at kick-off, 55% now
  8. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Escobedo win: 65% at kick-off, 84% now
  9. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Escobedo win: 65% at kick-off, 55% now
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Escobedo 1–1 Revilla
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Escobedo 1–1 Revilla
  12. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Escobedo 1–2 Revilla
  13. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Escobedo 1–3 Revilla
  14. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Escobedo 2–3 Revilla
  15. FTFULL TIME Escobedo 2–3 Revilla
  16. FTEscobedo 2–3 Revilla · Escobedo win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Escobedo win65%
Draw20%
Revilla win15%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · escobedo winPublished 10 Oct 16:37
65% The market–
Us65%

We make Escobedo a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Escobedo win65%––
Draw20%––
Revilla win15%––
Over 2.5 goals62%––
Both teams to score56%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals40%––
Escobedo or draw85%––
Escobedo clean sheet38%––
Revilla clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.9%
0123450 4.7 3.5 2.0 1 8.5 9.4 4.4 2 9.9 9.7 4.8 3 7.3 7.1 3.5 4 4.1 4.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Escobedo down, Revilla across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.53 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsESC 1–0 REV · REV 3–1 ESC · REV 1–0 ESC · ESC 4–1 REV

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

ESCOBEDO

DDLLWD1–1 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–0

REVILLA

LWWDLD0–2 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Tropezón5+915
2Bezana5+815
3Laredo5+1012
4Vimenor5+410
5Cayón5+310
6Torina5+69
7Sámano5+68
8Revilla5+48
9Selaya5−27
10Atlético Mineros5−76
11Castro5−25
12Escobedo5−45
13Guarnizo5−34
14Solares5−34
15Velarde5−54
16Atlético Albericia5−61
17Naval Reinosa5−91
18Barquereño5−91

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.