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Cayón v Torina
CayónTorinaTercera División RFEF - Group 3 · SUN 11 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cayón win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Cayón 47% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–27–26
- 1′KICK-OFF Cayón v Torina
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Cayón 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–26
- 45′HALF-TIME Cayón 0–0 Torina
- 46′SECOND HALF Cayón 0–0 Torina
- FTFULL TIME Cayón 0–0 Torina
- FTCayón 0–0 Torina · Cayón win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Cayón win47%Torina win25%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00
Match timeline
All events
CayónMINTorinaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Cayón
Torina
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cayón | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Torina | 5 | +6 | 9 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cayón a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.0.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cayón win | 47% | 44% | +3 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 0 |
| Torina win | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 49% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 54% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 72% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 29% | −6 |
| Cayón or draw | 75% | 72% | +3 |
| Cayón clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Torina clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
CAYÓN
TORINA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tropezón | 6 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |  Bezana | 6 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Laredo | 6 | +12 | 15 |
| 4 |  Sámano | 6 | +8 | 11 |
| 5 |  Revilla | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 6 | Cayón | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Vimenor | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Torina | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 9 |  Selaya | 5 | −2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Atlético Mineros | 6 | −8 | 6 |
| 11 |  Guarnizo | 6 | −3 | 5 |
| 12 |  Solares | 6 | −3 | 5 |
| 13 |  Castro | 6 | −4 | 5 |
| 14 |  Escobedo | 6 | −5 | 5 |
| 15 |  Atlético Albericia | 6 | −4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Velarde | 6 | −7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Naval Reinosa | 6 | −9 | 2 |
| 18 |  Barquereño | 5 | −9 | 1 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.