Atlético Albericia v Atlético Mineros

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Atlético Albericia win at 68%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Atlético Albericia was 68% before kick-off and our model makes it 68% now. 0–0 · 68–19–13
3. 1′KICK-OFF Atlético Albericia v Atlético Mineros
4. 22′A goal for Atlético Mineros on 22′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 37–25–37
5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Atlético Albericia 0–1 Atlético Mineros
6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Atlético Albericia win: 68% at kick-off, 37% now
7. 23′We said Atlético Albericia at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 0–1 · 37–26–38
8. 28′We said Atlético Albericia at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–26–39
9. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Atlético Mineros win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Atlético Albericia win 37%)
10. 30′Atlético Mineros score on 29′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 15–19–67
11. 30′We said Atlético Albericia at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 0–2 · 15–19–67
12. 30′⚽ GOAL · 29' Atlético Albericia 0–2 Atlético Mineros
13. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Atlético Albericia win: 68% at kick-off, 15% now
14. 31′We said Atlético Albericia at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–2 · 14–19–67
15. 43′We said Atlético Albericia at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–2 · 9–17–74
16. 43′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–2 · 9–17–74
17. 45′HALF-TIME Atlético Albericia 0–2 Atlético Mineros
18. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Atlético Albericia win: 68% at kick-off, 8% now
19. 46′SECOND HALF Atlético Albericia 0–2 Atlético Mineros
20. 55′Atlético Albericia find the net on 54′. 1–2. 1–2 · 18–30–52
21. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Atlético Albericia 1–2 Atlético Mineros
22. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Atlético Albericia win: 68% at kick-off, 18% now
23. 69′A goal for Atlético Albericia on 69′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 36–52–12
24. 69′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 36–52–12
25. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Atlético Albericia 2–2 Atlético Mineros
26. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Atlético Albericia win: 68% at kick-off, 36% now
27. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Atlético Mineros win 64%)
28. 75′We said Atlético Albericia at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–61–10
29. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Atlético Albericia win: 68% at kick-off, 27% now
30. 79′We said Atlético Albericia at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 23–69–8
31. 79′Atlético Mineros score on 79′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 3–20–77
32. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Atlético Albericia 2–3 Atlético Mineros
33. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Atlético Albericia win: 68% at kick-off, 3% now
34. 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Atlético Mineros win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 69%)
35. 80′We said Atlético Albericia at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 2–3 · 3–19–79
36. 81′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 2–17–80
37. 85′Atlético Albericia find the net on 84′. 3–3. 3–3 · 13–82–5
38. 85′6 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 13–82–5
39. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Atlético Albericia 3–3 Atlético Mineros
40. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Atlético Albericia win: 68% at kick-off, 13% now
41. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Atlético Mineros win 86%)
42. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Atlético Albericia win: 68% at kick-off, 7% now
43. FTFULL TIME Atlético Albericia 3–3 Atlético Mineros
44. FTAtlético Albericia 3–3 Atlético Mineros · Atlético Albericia win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.