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Mosconia v Ceares

Mosconia
2–2Full time
Ceares

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:31
Mosconia 2–2 Ceares MOSCONIA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Mosconia win54%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.861

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 38 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mosconia win at 54%.
  2. 2′Much as we predicted: Mosconia was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–26–19
  3. 8′Mosconia find the net on 3′. 1–0. 1–0 · 81–14–5
  4. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 55% now
  5. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 81% now
  6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 55% now
  7. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 81% now
  8. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 55% now
  9. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 81% now
  10. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 55% now
  11. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 81% now
  12. 21′Mosconia find the net on 3′. 1–0. 1–0 · 82–14–4
  13. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 55% now
  14. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 81% now
  15. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  16. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  17. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  18. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  19. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  20. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  21. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Mosconia 2–0 Ceares
  22. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  23. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  24. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  25. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  26. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  27. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  28. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  29. 40′⚽ GOAL · 3' Mosconia 2–0 Ceares
  30. 40′⚽ GOAL · 33' Mosconia 2–0 Ceares
  31. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  32. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  33. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  34. 43′⚽ GOAL · 3' Mosconia 2–0 Ceares
  35. 43′⚽ GOAL · 33' Mosconia 2–0 Ceares
  36. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  37. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Mosconia win: 54% at kick-off, 82% now
  38. 45′HALF-TIME Mosconia 2–0 Ceares
  39. 46′SECOND HALF Mosconia 2–0 Ceares
  40. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Mosconia 2–1 Ceares
  41. 90′⚽ GOAL · 96' Mosconia 2–2 Ceares
  42. FTFULL TIME Mosconia 2–2 Ceares
  43. FTMosconia 2–2 Ceares · Mosconia win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Mosconia win54%
Draw27%
Ceares win18%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 18:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mosconia winPublished 10 Oct 17:54
54% The market–
Us54%

We make Mosconia a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mosconia win54%––
Draw27%––
Ceares win18%––
Over 2.5 goals40%––
Both teams to score42%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals20%––
Mosconia or draw82%––
Mosconia clean sheet47%––
Ceares clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.8%
0123450 11.2 7.2 3.0 1 14.8 12.2 4.4 2 11.6 8.6 3.3 3 6.0 4.4 4 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mosconia down, Ceares across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsMOS 1–0 CEA · CEA 0–0 MOS · MOS 2–1 CEA · CEA 1–1 MOS

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

MOSCONIA

LWWDWD1–2 · 5–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

CEARES

WWLLLL2–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 3–4 · 0–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Covadonga5+1013
2Sporting Gijón II5+513
3Mosconia5+711
4Condal5+611
5Colunga5+210
6Caudal5+210
7Siero5+39
8Langreo5+28
9Gijón Industrial5+27
10Lealtad5+17
11San Martín5−55
12Praviano5−24
13L'Entregu5−44
14Ceares5−43
15Llanes5−63
16Avilés Stadium5−73
17Astur5−52
18Andes5−71

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.