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Langreo v Lealtad

Langreo
0–1Full time
Lealtad

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02
Langreo 0–1 Lealtad LEALTAD WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Lealtad win42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.513

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Lealtad win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Lealtad 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 31–26–42
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Langreo v Lealtad
  4. 8′Little has changed for our model: Lealtad 42% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 31–28–41
  5. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Langreo 0–1 Lealtad
  6. 45′33′ and it is 0–1: Lealtad have scored. 0–1 · 7–20–74
  7. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Lealtad win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Langreo 0–1 Lealtad
  9. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Lealtad win: 42% at kick-off, 37% now
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Langreo 0–1 Lealtad
  11. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Lealtad win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
  12. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Lealtad win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
  13. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Lealtad win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
  14. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Lealtad win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
  15. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Lealtad win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
  16. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Lealtad win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
  17. 85′⚽ GOAL · 33' Langreo 0–1 Lealtad
  18. 88′⚽ GOAL · 33' Langreo 0–1 Lealtad
  19. FTFULL TIME Langreo 0–1 Lealtad
  20. FTLangreo 0–1 Lealtad · Lealtad win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Langreo win31%
Draw27%
Lealtad win42%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lealtad winPublished 10 Oct 17:01
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Lealtad a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Langreo win31%––
Draw27%––
Lealtad win42%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Langreo or draw58%––
Langreo clean sheet26%––
Lealtad clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%
0123450 8.9 10.1 7.5 3.6 1 8.4 12.6 8.2 3.9 2 5.4 7.0 4.7 2.2 3 2.2 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Langreo down, Lealtad across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

LANGREO

LDWWD1–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 1–1

LEALTAD

WWLLDW6–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Covadonga5+1013
2Sporting Gijón II5+513
3Mosconia5+711
4Condal5+611
5Colunga5+210
6Caudal5+210
7Siero5+39
8Langreo5+28
9Gijón Industrial5+27
10Lealtad5+17
11San Martín5−55
12Praviano5−24
13L'Entregu5−44
14Ceares5−43
15Llanes5−63
16Avilés Stadium5−73
17Astur5−52
18Andes5−71

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.