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Avilés Stadium v Langreo
Avilés Stadium
LangreoTercera División RFEF - Group 2 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Langreo win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Langreo was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 28–30–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Avilés Stadium v Langreo
- 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Langreo win 35%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Avilés Stadium 0–0 Langreo
- 46′SECOND HALF Avilés Stadium 0–0 Langreo
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Langreo win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 52′We said Langreo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 22–48–30
- 54′We said Langreo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 21–49–29
- 64′We said Langreo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 18–58–24
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Langreo win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 72′We said Langreo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 14–67–19
- 78′We said Langreo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 10–76–14
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Langreo win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 83′We said Langreo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–85–9
- 90′We said Langreo at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Langreo win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- FTFULL TIME Avilés Stadium 0–0 Langreo
- FTAvilés Stadium 0–0 Langreo · Langreo win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Langreo are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Avilés Stadium 28%, draw 30%, Langreo 42%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Avilés Stadium win28%
Langreo win42%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:45
RoundGroup 2 · matchday 7
Match timeline
All events
Avilés StadiumMIN
LangreoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Avilés Stadium
Langreo
Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Langreo a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avilés Stadium win | 28% | – | – |
| Draw | 30% | – | – |
| Langreo win | 42% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | – | – |
| Avilés Stadium or draw | 58% | – | – |
| Avilés Stadium clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Langreo clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2022/23No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 this season · since 6 Sept
AVILÉS STADIUM
LANGREO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Gijón II | 7 | +9 | 17 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 7 | +12 | 16 |
| 3 | Condal | 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Mosconia | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Siero | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Caudal | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Praviano | 7 | +5 | 11 |
| 8 | Gijón Industrial | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Lealtad | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Colunga | 7 | −2 | 11 |
| 11 | San Martín | 6 | −3 | 8 |
| 12 | Avilés Stadium | 6 | −6 | 6 |
| 13 | Langreo | 6 | −3 | 5 |
| 14 | Ceares | 7 | −5 | 4 |
| 15 | Astur | 7 | −5 | 4 |
| 16 | Llanes | 7 | −7 | 4 |
| 17 | L'Entregu | 6 | −7 | 4 |
| 18 | Andes | 7 | −9 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sporting Gijón II
Covadonga
Condal
Mosconia
Siero
Caudal
Praviano
Gijón Industrial
Lealtad
Colunga
San Martín
Ceares
Astur
Llanes
L'Entregu
Andes