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Villarrubia v Guadalajara II
Villarrubia
Guadalajara IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Villarrubia win at 51%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Villarrubia 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–28–21
- 1′Villarrubia find the net on 1′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–14–7
- 1′KICK-OFF Villarrubia v Guadalajara II
- 1′⚽ GOAL · 1' Villarrubia 1–0 Guadalajara II
- 1′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 1' Villarrubia win: 51% at kick-off, 79% now
- 2′We said Villarrubia at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–14–7
- 29′A goal for Villarrubia on 28′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 29′We said Villarrubia at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 29′⚽ GOAL · 28' Villarrubia 2–0 Guadalajara II
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Villarrubia win: 51% at kick-off, 95% now
- 33′Villarrubia score on 33′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Villarrubia 3–0 Guadalajara II
- 34′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 38′Villarrubia find the net on 38′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 38′We said Villarrubia at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 38′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Villarrubia 4–0 Guadalajara II
- 45′HALF-TIME Villarrubia 4–0 Guadalajara II
- 46′Villarrubia ahead on 37′ through G. Pimentel. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 46′SECOND HALF Villarrubia 4–0 Guadalajara II
- FTFULL TIME Villarrubia 4–0 Guadalajara II
- FTVillarrubia 4–0 Guadalajara II · Villarrubia win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Villarrubia are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Villarrubia 51%, draw 28%, Guadalajara II 21%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Villarrubia win51%
Guadalajara II win21%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00
RoundGroup 18 · matchday 7
Match timeline
All events
VillarrubiaMIN
Guadalajara IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Villarrubia
Guadalajara II
Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Villarrubia a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarrubia win | 51% | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – |
| Guadalajara II win | 21% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | – | – |
| Villarrubia or draw | 79% | – | – |
| Villarrubia clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| Guadalajara II clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 this season · since 5 Sept
VILLARRUBIA
GUADALAJARA II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 7 | +5 | 18 |
| 2 | Torrijos | 7 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Illescas | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | Toledo | 7 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | Villarrobledo | 6 | +7 | 12 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Villacañas | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Marchamalo | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Almansa | 6 | +5 | 10 |
| 10 | Tarancón | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 7 | −2 | 10 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 6 | −2 | 8 |
| 13 | La Solana | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 6 | −5 | 5 |
| 15 | Socuéllamos | 7 | −4 | 4 |
| 16 | Villarrubia | 6 | −7 | 3 |
| 17 | Guadalajara II | 6 | −7 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracán Balazote | 6 | −12 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Manchego
Torrijos
Illescas
Toledo
Villarrobledo
CD Villa
Villacañas
Marchamalo
Almansa
Tarancón
Noblejas
San Clemente
La Solana
Quintanar del Rey
Socuéllamos
Huracán Balazote