Tarancón v Villarrubia

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tarancón win at 60%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Tarancón 60% before kick-off, 60% now. 0–0 · 60–24–16
3. 1′KICK-OFF Tarancón v Villarrubia
4. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Tarancón win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
5. 39′We said Tarancón at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 48%. 0–0 · 48–35–16
6. 45′HALF-TIME Tarancón 0–0 Villarrubia
7. 46′SECOND HALF Tarancón 0–0 Villarrubia
8. 48′We said Tarancón at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–40–16
9. 52′Villarrubia find the net on 52′. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–28–58
10. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Tarancón 0–1 Villarrubia
11. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Tarancón win: 60% at kick-off, 14% now
12. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Villarrubia win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Tarancón win 43%)
13. 53′We said Tarancón at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–28–59
14. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Tarancón win: 60% at kick-off, 10% now
15. 62′We said Tarancón at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
16. 71′A goal for Tarancón on 70′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 27–61–11
17. 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Tarancón 1–1 Villarrubia
18. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Tarancón win: 60% at kick-off, 27% now
19. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Villarrubia win 72%)
20. 72′We said Tarancón at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–63–11
21. 72′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 26–63–11
22. 74′We said Tarancón at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–66–10
23. 78′We said Tarancón at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–72–8
24. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Tarancón win: 60% at kick-off, 19% now
25. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Tarancón win: 60% at kick-off, 10% now
26. 92′We said Tarancón at 60%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
27. FTFULL TIME Tarancón 1–1 Villarrubia
28. FTTarancón 1–1 Villarrubia · Tarancón win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.