CD Villa v La Solana prediction · Tercera División RFEF

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CD VillaDrawLa Solana

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30

Before kick-off · Match result · CD Villa 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CD Villa are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CD Villa 49%, draw 29%, La Solana 22%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on CD Villa v La SolanaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

CD Villa win49%

Draw29%

La Solana win22%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:30

RoundGroup 18 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CD Villa

La Solana

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	CD Villa	7	0	12
14	La Solana	7	−4	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cd villa winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make CD Villa a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CD Villa v La Solana~~1.37 – 0.81

~~Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 12 v 6~~7 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CD Villa win	49%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
La Solana win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
CD Villa or draw	78%	–	–
CD Villa clean sheet	45%	–	–
La Solana clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.6%

0123450 12.8 8.5 3.8 1 14.6 12.9 4.9 2 10.4 8.1 3.3 3 4.8 3.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CD Villa down, La Solana across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,519 Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.6% of games this season, across 65 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

CD Villa at home: 1.67 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 3). La Solana away: 0.17 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.37 goals for CD Villa, 0.81 for La Solana. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 this season · since 12 Sept

CD VILLA

WLWWWL1–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 0–3

LA SOLANA

LWLLLW0–3 · 4–0 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Manchego	7	+5	18
2	Torrijos	7	+6	14
3	Illescas	7	+4	14
4	Toledo	7	+7	13
5	Villarrobledo	7	+7	13
6	Tarancón	7	+5	13
7	CD Villa	7	0	12
8	Almansa	7	+5	11
9	Villacañas	7	+3	11
10	Marchamalo	7	+2	11
11	Noblejas	7	−2	10
12	San Clemente	7	−2	9
13	Villarrubia	7	−3	6
14	La Solana	7	−4	6
15	Quintanar del Rey	7	−6	5
16	Socuéllamos	7	−4	4
17	Guadalajara II	7	−11	2
18	Huracán Balazote	7	−12	1