Almansa v San Clemente

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Almansa win at 62%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Almansa 62% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 62–21–17
3. 1′KICK-OFF Almansa v San Clemente
4. 19′A goal for San Clemente on 19′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 33–25–42
5. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Almansa 0–1 San Clemente
6. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Almansa win: 62% at kick-off, 33% now
7. 19′THE CALL SWINGS · 19' San Clemente win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Almansa win 33%)
8. 20′We said Almansa at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–1 · 33–25–42
9. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Almansa win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
10. 28′We said Almansa at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–26–45
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 28–26–45
12. 39′We said Almansa at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–27–49
13. 39′San Clemente are down to ten from 39′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 24–27–49
14. 39′🟥 RED CARD · 39' San Clemente
15. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Almansa win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
16. 45′We said Almansa at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–34–17
17. 45′HALF-TIME Almansa 1–1 San Clemente
18. 46′SECOND HALF Almansa 1–1 San Clemente
19. 47′Almansa score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 48–35–17
20. 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Almansa 1–1 San Clemente
21. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Almansa win: 62% at kick-off, 48% now
22. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Almansa win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was San Clemente win 17%)
23. 54′We said Almansa at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–39–16
24. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Almansa win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
25. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Almansa win 40%)
26. 62′We said Almansa at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–46–15
27. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Almansa win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
28. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Almansa win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
29. 80′We said Almansa at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–72–8
30. 83′We said Almansa at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–6
31. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Almansa win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
32. 88′We said Almansa at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–4
33. 93′We said Almansa at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–95–2
34. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Almansa win: 62% at kick-off, 2% now
35. FTFULL TIME Almansa 1–1 San Clemente
36. FTAlmansa 1–1 San Clemente · Almansa win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.