Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 › Illueca v CD Sietamo

Illueca v CD Sietamo

Illueca

0–0Full time

CD Sietamo

Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32

Illueca 0–0 CD Sietamo ILLUECA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Illueca win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.828

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Illueca win38%

Draw26%

CD Sietamo win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · illueca winPublished 10 Oct 18:18

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Illueca a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Illueca win	38%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
CD Sietamo win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Illueca or draw	64%	–	–
Illueca clean sheet	26%	–	–
CD Sietamo clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 6.9 8.4 5.9 2.8 1 8.6 11.9 7.9 3.7 2 6.1 8.1 5.5 2.6 3 2.9 3.8 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Illueca down, CD Sietamo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,481 Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.2% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Illueca at home: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). CD Sietamo away: 1.50 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for Illueca, 1.38 for CD Sietamo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

ILLUECA

WLLLWW1–0 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 1–0

CD SIETAMO

LLDLW0–2 · 2–5 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Real Zaragoza II	5	+8	13
2	Ejea	5	+5	12
3	Brea	5	+7	11
4	Atlético Monzón	5	+1	10
5	Cuarte	5	+5	9
6	Caspe	5	+3	8
7	Fraga	5	+2	8
8	Binéfar	5	+1	7
9	Épila	5	0	7
10	La Almunia	5	−1	7
11	Almudévar	5	+1	6
12	CDJ Tamarite	5	−1	6
13	Huesca II	5	−1	6
14	Illueca	5	−3	6
15	CD Sietamo	5	−3	4
16	Andorra CF	5	−6	4
17	Robres	5	−7	1
18	Belchite 97	5	−11	1