Huesca II v Real Zaragoza II prediction · Tercera División RFEF

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 13:36

Huesca II 2–0 Real Zaragoza II REAL ZARAGOZA II WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Real Zaragoza II win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.729

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Real Zaragoza II win at 42%.
1′Much as we predicted: Real Zaragoza II was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 31–27–42
1′KICK-OFF Huesca II v Real Zaragoza II
34′Huesca II find the net on 34′. 1–0. 1–0 · 64–23–13
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Huesca II 1–0 Real Zaragoza II
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Real Zaragoza II win: 42% at kick-off, 13% now
34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Huesca II win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Real Zaragoza II win 13%)
35′We said Real Zaragoza II at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–0 · 64–23–13
35′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 64–23–13
37′A goal for Huesca II on 37′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 88–9–3
37′We said Real Zaragoza II at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 2–0 · 88–9–3
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Huesca II 2–0 Real Zaragoza II
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Real Zaragoza II win: 42% at kick-off, 3% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Real Zaragoza II win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
45′HALF-TIME Huesca II 2–0 Real Zaragoza II
46′G. Anglada scores for Huesca II on 40′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 90–8–2
46′SECOND HALF Huesca II 2–0 Real Zaragoza II
FTFULL TIME Huesca II 2–0 Real Zaragoza II
FTHuesca II 2–0 Real Zaragoza II · Real Zaragoza II win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Real Zaragoza II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Huesca II 31%, draw 27%, Real Zaragoza II 42%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Huesca II v Real Zaragoza IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Huesca II win31%

Draw27%

Real Zaragoza II win42%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup 17 · matchday 7

VenueEstadio El Alcoraz

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Huesca II

Real Zaragoza II

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · real zaragoza ii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Real Zaragoza II a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Huesca II v Real Zaragoza II~~1.14 – 1.39

~~Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D4 L1 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 7 v 16~~11 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Huesca II win	31%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Real Zaragoza II win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Huesca II or draw	58%	–	–
Huesca II clean sheet	26%	–	–
Real Zaragoza II clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%

0123450 9.0 10.7 7.6 3.7 1 8.9 12.6 8.2 3.9 2 5.4 6.9 4.6 2.2 3 2.1 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Huesca II down, Real Zaragoza II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,491 Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Huesca II at home: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Real Zaragoza II away: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Huesca II, 1.39 for Real Zaragoza II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 this season · since 5 Sept

HUESCA II

DWDDLD2–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–0

REAL ZARAGOZA II

WWDWWW2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Real Zaragoza II	6	+11	16
2	Ejea	6	+7	15
3	Brea	6	+8	14
4	Fraga	6	+4	11
5	Cuarte	6	+5	10
6	Épila	6	+3	10
7	Atlético Monzón	6	−2	10
8	Caspe	6	+3	9
9	Almudévar	7	+1	8
10	Binéfar	6	−1	7
11	Huesca II	6	−1	7
12	La Almunia	6	−2	7
13	Illueca	6	−3	7
14	CDJ Tamarite	6	−3	6
15	CD Sietamo	7	−3	6
16	Andorra CF	6	−6	5
17	Belchite 97	6	−11	2
18	Robres	6	−10	1