Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 › Cuarte v Fraga
Back

Cuarte v Fraga
Cuarte
FragaTercera División RFEF - Group 17 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cuarte win at 55%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Cuarte 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–27–18
- 1′KICK-OFF Cuarte v Fraga
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Cuarte win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
- 40′We said Cuarte at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 0–0 · 43–40–16
- 45′We said Cuarte at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–13–3
- 45′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 84–13–3
- 45′HALF-TIME Cuarte 1–0 Fraga
- 46′SECOND HALF Cuarte 1–0 Fraga
- 47′Cuarte find the net on 45′. 1–0. 1–0 · 84–13–3
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Cuarte 1–0 Fraga
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Cuarte win: 55% at kick-off, 84% now
- 49′We said Cuarte at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Cuarte win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
- 71′We said Cuarte at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 82′We said Cuarte at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Cuarte win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
- 97′A goal for Cuarte on 90′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 97′We said Cuarte at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+7' Cuarte 2–0 Fraga
- FTFULL TIME Cuarte 2–0 Fraga
- FTCuarte 2–0 Fraga · Cuarte win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Cuarte are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Cuarte 55%, draw 27%, Fraga 17%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 39%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 03:48 · locked at kick-off
Cuarte win55%
Fraga win17%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00
RoundGroup 17 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
CuarteMIN
FragaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Cuarte
Fraga
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cuarte a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 56%, 55% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuarte win | 55% | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – |
| Fraga win | 17% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 39% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | – | – |
| Cuarte or draw | 83% | – | – |
| Cuarte clean sheet | 50% | – | – |
| Fraga clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 this season · since 13 Sept
CUARTE
FRAGA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Zaragoza II | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 | Ejea | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brea | 7 | +7 | 14 |
| 4 | Caspe | 7 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 | Fraga | 7 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 | Cuarte | 7 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Épila | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Binéfar | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Huesca II | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | La Almunia | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Monzón | 7 | −4 | 10 |
| 12 | CDJ Tamarite | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 13 | Almudévar | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 14 | Andorra CF | 7 | −4 | 8 |
| 15 | Illueca | 7 | −5 | 7 |
| 16 | CD Sietamo | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 17 | Robres | 7 | −10 | 2 |
| 18 | Belchite 97 | 7 | −13 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Real Zaragoza II
Ejea
Brea
Caspe
Épila
Binéfar
Huesca II
La Almunia
Atlético Monzón
CDJ Tamarite
Almudévar
Andorra CF
Illueca
CD Sietamo
Robres
Belchite 97