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Brea v La Almunia

Brea
1–0Full time
La Almunia

Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33
Brea 1–0 La Almunia BREA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Brea win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.479

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 2 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Brea win at 43%.
  2. 3′Much as we predicted: Brea was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–28–28
  3. 3′KICK-OFF Brea v La Almunia
  4. FTFULL TIME Brea 1–0 La Almunia
  5. FTBrea 1–0 La Almunia · Brea win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Brea win43%
Draw28%
La Almunia win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · brea winPublished 10 Oct 17:01
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Brea a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Brea win43%––
Draw28%––
La Almunia win28%––
Over 2.5 goals42%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Brea or draw72%––
Brea clean sheet37%––
La Almunia clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%
0123450 10.3 9.5 5.0 1 12.4 12.9 6.4 2.2 2 8.4 8.3 4.2 3 3.8 3.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Brea down, La Almunia across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsBRE 1–0 LAA · LAA 3–0 BRE

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

BREA

DDWDWW0–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 1–0

LA ALMUNIA

WDLWWL1–0 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Real Zaragoza II5+813
2Ejea5+512
3Brea5+711
4Atlético Monzón5+110
5Cuarte5+59
6Caspe5+38
7Fraga5+28
8Binéfar5+17
9Épila507
10La Almunia5−17
11Almudévar5+16
12CDJ Tamarite5−16
13Huesca II5−16
14Illueca5−36
15CD Sietamo5−34
16Andorra CF5−64
17Robres5−71
18Belchite 975−111

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.