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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 › Belchite 97 v La Almunia

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Belchite 97 v La Almunia

Belchite 97
0–2Full time
La Almunia

Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Belchite 97 0–2 La Almunia LA ALMUNIA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said La Almunia win40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.540

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said La Almunia win at 40%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: La Almunia was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 31–29–40
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Belchite 97 v La Almunia
  4. 15′A goal for La Almunia on 15′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 11–19–70
  5. 15′We published La Almunia at 40%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 11–19–70
  6. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Belchite 97 0–1 La Almunia
  7. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' La Almunia win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
  8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 9–20–71
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Belchite 97 0–1 La Almunia
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Belchite 97 0–1 La Almunia
  11. 47′We published La Almunia at 40%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
  12. 63′We published La Almunia at 40%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
  13. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' La Almunia win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
  14. 73′We published La Almunia at 40%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 1–13–85
  15. 81′La Almunia score on 80′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  16. 81′We published La Almunia at 40%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  17. 81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Belchite 97 0–2 La Almunia
  18. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' La Almunia win: 40% at kick-off, over 99% now
  19. FTFULL TIME Belchite 97 0–2 La Almunia
  20. FTBelchite 97 0–2 La Almunia · La Almunia win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

La Almunia are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Belchite 97 31%, draw 29%, La Almunia 40%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Belchite 97 v La AlmuniaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Belchite 97 win31%
Draw29%
La Almunia win40%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:30

RoundGroup 17 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Belchite 97

La Almunia

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10La Almunia7010
18Belchite 977−132

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · la almunia winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make La Almunia a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Belchite 97 v La Almunia1.09 – 1.27
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 this season · since 13 SeptW0 D1 L5 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 2 v 1018 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Belchite 97 win31%––
Draw29%––
La Almunia win40%––
Over 2.5 goals42%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Belchite 97 or draw60%––
Belchite 97 clean sheet29%––
La Almunia clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%
0123450 10.3 11.5 7.6 3.3 1 9.9 13.2 8.0 3.5 2 5.7 6.9 4.3 3 2.1 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Belchite 97 down, La Almunia across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsBEL 1–2 LAA · LAA 0–3 BEL · LAA 0–2 BEL · BEL 1–1 LAA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 this season · since 13 Sept

BELCHITE 97

LLLLDL1–2 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 1–3

LA ALMUNIA

LWWLLW0–2 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Real Zaragoza II7+916
2Ejea7+515
3Brea7+714
4Caspe7+412
5Fraga7+412
6Cuarte7+511
7Épila7+311
8Binéfar7+110
9Huesca II7+110
10La Almunia7010
11Atlético Monzón7−410
12CDJ Tamarite7−19
13Almudévar7+18
14Andorra CF7−48
15Illueca7−57
16CD Sietamo7−36
17Robres7−102
18Belchite 977−132

The competition's standings before kick-off.