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La Calzada v River Ebro
La Calzada
River EbroTercera División RFEF - Group 16 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said La Calzada win at 61%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: La Calzada 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–22–17
- 1′KICK-OFF La Calzada v River Ebro
- 32′La Calzada score on 32′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 83–13–4
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' La Calzada 1–0 River Ebro
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' La Calzada win: 61% at kick-off, 83% now
- 33′We said La Calzada at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–13–4
- 33′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 83–13–4
- 45′HALF-TIME La Calzada 2–0 River Ebro
- 46′SECOND HALF La Calzada 2–0 River Ebro
- 48′La Calzada find the net on 45′. 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
- 48′We said La Calzada at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' La Calzada 2–0 River Ebro
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+3' La Calzada win: 61% at kick-off, 97% now
- 79′We said La Calzada at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 84′A goal for River Ebro on 84′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' La Calzada 2–1 River Ebro
- 85′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- FTFULL TIME La Calzada 2–1 River Ebro
- FTLa Calzada 2–1 River Ebro · La Calzada win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
La Calzada are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: La Calzada 61%, draw 22%, River Ebro 17%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
La Calzada win61%
River Ebro win17%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:30
RoundGroup 16 · matchday 7
Match timeline
All events
La CalzadaMIN
River EbroEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
La Calzada
River Ebro
Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Last match: 8 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make La Calzada a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Calzada win | 61% | – | – |
| Draw | 22% | – | – |
| River Ebro win | 17% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | – | – |
| La Calzada or draw | 83% | – | – |
| La Calzada clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| River Ebro clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 this season · since 6 Sept
LA CALZADA
RIVER EBRO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berceo | 6 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 | Alfaro | 6 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | Haro Deportivo | 6 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 6 | +11 | 12 |
| 5 | San Marcial | 7 | +5 | 12 |
| 6 | La Calzada | 6 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Pradejón | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Varea | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 | Anguiano | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Oyonesa | 6 | −1 | 8 |
| 12 | Comillas | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 13 | Yagüe | 7 | −9 | 6 |
| 14 | Cenicero | 6 | −3 | 5 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 6 | −9 | 5 |
| 16 | Vianés | 6 | −1 | 4 |
| 17 | River Ebro | 6 | −9 | 4 |
| 18 | Casalarreina | 6 | −9 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Berceo
Alfaro
Haro Deportivo
Calahorra
San Marcial
Pradejón
Varea
Agoncillo
Anguiano
Oyonesa
Comillas
Yagüe
Cenicero
Calasancio
Vianés
Casalarreina