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Casalarreina v Alfaro
CasalarreinaAlfaroTercera División RFEF - Group 16 · SUN 11 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Alfaro win at 63%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Alfaro 63% before kick-off, 66% now. 0–0 · 17–17–66
- 1′KICK-OFF Casalarreina v Alfaro
- 9′Little has changed for our model: Alfaro 63% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 17–19–64
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Casalarreina 0–1 Alfaro
- 45′HALF-TIME Casalarreina 0–1 Alfaro
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 39' Casalarreina 0–1 Alfaro
- 46′SECOND HALF Casalarreina 0–1 Alfaro
- FTFULL TIME Casalarreina 0–1 Alfaro
- FTCasalarreina 0–1 Alfaro · Alfaro win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Casalarreina win18%Alfaro win63%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 10:30
Match timeline
All events
CasalarreinaMINAlfaroEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Casalarreina
Alfaro
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alfaro | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 17 | Casalarreina | 5 | −8 | 3 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Alfaro a 63% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.6, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casalarreina win | 18% | – | – |
| Draw | 18% | – | – |
| Alfaro win | 63% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 64% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% | – | – |
| Casalarreina or draw | 37% | – | – |
| Casalarreina clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
| Alfaro clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
CASALARREINA
ALFARO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Haro Deportivo | 5 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 |  Berceo | 5 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  La Calzada | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Alfaro | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Pradejón | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Calahorra | 5 | +7 | 9 |
| 7 |  Agoncillo | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 |  Anguiano | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Oyonesa | 6 | −1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Varea | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  San Marcial | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 |  Yagüe | 6 | −6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Cenicero | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Comillas | 6 | −3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Calasancio | 5 | −5 | 5 |
| 16 |  River Ebro | 6 | −9 | 4 |
| 17 | Casalarreina | 5 | −8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Vianés | 5 | −5 | 1 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.