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Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 › Valle Egüés v Huarte

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Valle Egüés v Huarte

Valle Egüés
2–1Full time
Huarte

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Valle Egüés 2–1 Huarte VALLE EGÜÉS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Valle Egüés win49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.390

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 18 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Valle Egüés win at 49%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Valle Egüés 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Valle Egüés v Huarte
  4. 21′Little has changed for our model: Valle Egüés 49% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–29–25
  5. 22′A goal for Huarte on 22′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 21–24–55
  6. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Valle Egüés 0–1 Huarte
  7. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Valle Egüés win: 49% at kick-off, 21% now
  8. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Huarte win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Valle Egüés win 21%)
  9. 23′We said Valle Egüés at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–24–55
  10. 29′We said Valle Egüés at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–25–56
  11. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Valle Egüés win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
  12. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 19–25–56
  13. 44′We said Valle Egüés at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–60
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Valle Egüés 1–1 Huarte
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Valle Egüés 1–1 Huarte
  16. 47′Valle Egüés score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 38–39–23
  17. 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Valle Egüés 1–1 Huarte
  18. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Valle Egüés win: 49% at kick-off, 38% now
  19. 50′We said Valle Egüés at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 37–40–22
  20. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Huarte win 22%)
  21. 57′We said Valle Egüés at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–45–21
  22. 59′Valle Egüés find the net on 59′. 2–1. 2–1 · 80–17–4
  23. 59′We said Valle Egüés at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–4
  24. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Valle Egüés 2–1 Huarte
  25. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Valle Egüés win: 49% at kick-off, 80% now
  26. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Valle Egüés win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 17%)
  27. 60′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 80–16–4
  28. 72′We said Valle Egüés at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
  29. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Valle Egüés win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
  30. 80′We said Valle Egüés at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
  31. 87′We said Valle Egüés at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  32. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Valle Egüés win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
  33. 95′A goal for Valle Egüés on 90′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  34. 95′We said Valle Egüés at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  35. 95′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  36. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Valle Egüés 3–1 Huarte
  37. 96′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+6' Valle Egüés
  38. FTFULL TIME Valle Egüés 2–1 Huarte
  39. FTValle Egüés 2–1 Huarte · Valle Egüés win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Valle Egüés are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Valle Egüés 49%, draw 26%, Huarte 25%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Valle Egüés v HuarteBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Valle Egüés win49%
Draw26%
Huarte win25%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:45

RoundGroup 15 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Valle Egüés

Huarte

8Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

Last match: 9 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Valle Egüés6−16
16Huarte6−34

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · valle egüés winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
49% The market–
Us49%

We make Valle Egüés a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Valle Egüés v Huarte1.72 – 1.17
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 this season · since 5 SeptW1 D3 L2 · W0 D4 L2
Table places · points 6 v 410 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Valle Egüés win49%––
Draw26%––
Huarte win25%––
Over 2.5 goals55%––
Both teams to score57%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals33%––
Valle Egüés or draw75%––
Valle Egüés clean sheet32%––
Huarte clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%
0123450 6.8 5.6 3.9 1 8.7 12.1 6.4 2.5 2 8.2 9.4 5.4 2.2 3 4.7 5.4 3.1 4 2.1 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Valle Egüés down, Huarte across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.75
Over 2.55 of 8
Both scored5 of 8
Last meetingsVAL 2–1 HUA · HUA 3–1 VAL · HUA 2–1 VAL · VAL 2–2 HUA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 this season · since 5 Sept

VALLE EGÜÉS

DLDWLD2–2 · 2–5 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 1–1

HUARTE

DLDDDL0–0 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 3–3 · 0–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Izarra6+1718
2Mutilvera6+714
3Beti Kozkor6+413
4Gazte Berriak6+413
5Avance Ezcabarte6+711
6Subiza6+410
7Aoiz6+29
8San Juan6+17
9Doneztebe FT6+36
10Valle Egüés6−16
11Txantrea6−56
12Beti Onak6−35
13Cortes6−65
14Cirbonero6−95
15Pamplona6−24
16Huarte6−34
17Bidezarra6−73
18Cantolagua6−133

The competition's standings before kick-off.